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Home My WebLink AboutNassau-Suffolk Public School Demographic Study 2003ANNUAL REGIONAL NASSAU-SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY JANUARY 2003 a service of Western Suffolk BOCES Western Suffolk BOCES Board of Cooperative Educational Services of Western Suffolk County, New York Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study January2003 Western Suffolk BOCES Board Ms. Ilene Herz, Esq., President Ms. Maryann Zumpano, Vice President Ms. Mildred Browne Mr. Sydney Finkelstein Mr. Salvatore Marinello Ms. Jeannette Santos Mr. Peter Wunsch Karen Aiello, Clerk (end Executive Secretary} Administration Dr. David E. Gee .............................................................................. District Superintendent Helen l~oggs Smith .......................................................................... Deputy Superintendent Joseph D. Myers .................................... Executive Director/Career & Technical Education Dr. Patricia A. Connors ........................ Executive Director/Instructional Support Services Paula Klingelhoefer ............... , ............. Assistant Director/Instructional Support Services Dr. Vito Loiacono .....................................................Executive Director/Special Education Warren Taylor ........................................................... Executive Director/Business Services Timothy P. Regan ................................................................................ Director of Personnel Susan E. smith .............................................................................. Administrative Assistant Office of School Planning & Research Washington Learning Center 220 Washington Avenue Deer Park, New Yo~k~ 11729 Tel: 631/242-1128 Fax: 631/242-4269 ANNUAL REGIONAL NASSAU - SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY JANUARY 2003 © copyright Western Suffolk BOCES 2003 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 SOURCES .................................................................................................................... 1 METHODOLOGY .......................................................................................................... 2 NASSAU - SUFFOLK DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS A. Population ....................................................................................................................... 3 B. Birth Data ....................................................................................................................... 5 C. Housing ........................................................................................................................... 6 D. Nonpublic Echool Enrollment ......................................................................................... 8 NASSAU - SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT A. Overview ......................................................................................................................... 9 B. Enrollment 1. K - 12 Enrollment .............................................................................................. 10 2. Elementary Enrollment ..................................................................................... 13 3. Middle Enrollment ............................................................................................. t3 4. Secondary Enrollment .................................................... ~ .................................. 14 APPENDIX A - Regional School & District Data APPENDIX B - Regional Enrollment Worksheets TABLES 2. 3. 4. Accuracy of Projections Prepared by Wentem :Suffolk BOCEE ...................................... 2 Regional Population 1990 - 2001 .................................................................................... 4 Age Diotributlon of the Regional Population 1990 - 2000 ......................................... ,..4 Regional Enrollment 1991 - 2006 .................................................................................. 11 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Comparlnon of Bi-County Birth, to Kindergarten 5 Yeer~ Later .................................... 6 Regional K - 12 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 ....................................................................... 10 Regional Grade Enrollment Comparioon 1996 - 2006 ................................................... 12 Regional K - 5 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 ......................................................................... 13 Regional 6 - 8 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 .......................................................................... t3 Regional 9 - 12 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 ....................................................................... 14 'INTRODUCTION This Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study presents Western Suffolk BOCES estimates of public school enrollment for 2002-03 through 2006-07. The Office of $chool Planning & Research of the Division of instructional Support Services at Western Suffolk BOCES has conducted comprehensive long range planning studies for school districts throughout New York State for more than twenty-five years. The Comprehensive Long Range Planning Service provides school districts with analysis of demographic and enrollment trends, projection of future enrollment, educational space assessment, and assistance in developing alternatives to address housing future student enrollment. These analyses serve to provide objective data that the district Boards of Education and administration can use in future planning. II SOURCES , , , , , The following agencies provided data and information: Diocese of Rockviile Centre Educational Research Service, Arlington, Virginia Keyspan/Long Island Power Authority Long Island Regional Planning Board MESA (Model Education Service Association), Washington D.C. School District Data Book Nassau County Planning Commission New York State Department of Commerce New York State Department of Education: Educational Facilities Planning Bureau of Educational Data Systems Office for Planning, Research & Program Accountability New York State Department of Health New York State Office of Real Property Services Newsday Port Authority of New York & New Jersey U.S, Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census U.S. Department of Education This study was researched and prepared by Lisa Conte, Educational Research Analyst, with editorial assistance provided by Janice Schwartz, Educational Research Clerk. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ......... page I Enrollment projections are based on the application of the Cohort Survival Model. This model uses birth data to project kindergarten enrollment and average movement trends of students through the public school system. The accuracy of enrollment projections increases with a thorough understanding of the forces that drive enrollment. Enrollment trends are directly affected by local demographic trends. Shifts in enrollment trends are related to changes in the level of births, population, population characteristics, housing, and attendance in the nonpublic schools. It is noted that the enrollment projections produced by Western Suffolk BOCES generally hold within a 4 percent margin of error for a ten year projection period. The greatest discrepancies in projections occur in the smallest subsets of those projections. For example, the projections for the bi-county region as a whole are likely to be the most accurate, while the projection of a particular grade level in a particular school in a specific year is likely to be the least accurate. Enrollment projections tend to be most accurate for the pedod closest in tin',e from the point of projection. The regional enrollment projections that have been historically prepared have been within 1 percent of the actual enrollment. Table 1 presents the accuracy of the enrollment projections made by Western Suffolk BOCES for 2001/02. TABLE 1 - ACCURACY OF 2001 PROJECTIONS PREPARED BY WESTERN SUFFOLK BOCES Projected Actual Accuracy Nassau 206,944 205,919 100.5% Suffolk 253,786 254,199 99.8% Bi-County Region 460,730 460,118 100.1% The Cohort Survival Model estimated the regional enrollment patterns for the years 2002 - 2006 using two basic inputs, including: 1. Grade to grade retention (migration) ratios for each two-grade transition to grades 1 - 12 during the past five - seven years. Ratios for each county were calculated in order to project enrollment in each respective county. The combined projections for both counties presented the regional enrollment. Projected entering kindergarten based on the number of live births in Nassau and Suffolk Counties five years before each projection year. Nassau County births were used to project Nassau County enrollment. Suffolk County births were used to project Suffolk County enrollment. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ......... page 2 NASSAU - SUFFOLK DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS Long Island is the largest island adjoining the continental United States, extending approximately 118 miles east-northeast from the mouth of the Hudson River. Twenty miles at its widest point, the island is separated from the mainland on the north by the Long Island Sound and bounded by the Atlantic Ocean on the south and east. Long Island is composed of Iow plateaus on the north, longitudinal ridges of glacial moraine through the central parts of the island, and gently sloping plains to the south. Peconic and Gardiners Bays separate the eastern end of the island into two peninsular forks. The northern fork is approximately 28 miles long, while the southern, terminating at Montauk Point, is about 44 miles long. Nestled in the bays between the two forks are Shelter Island, Robins Island; and Gardiners Island. Geographically, Long Island includes the four counties of Kings (Brooklyn), Queens, Nassau, and Suffolk. However, Brooklyn and Queens technically fall within the New York City jurisdiction, and therefore, the Long Island reference is commonly known as Nassau and Suffolk Counties, exclusively. Suffolk County is the largest, covering 911 square miles, followed by Nassau County with 287 square miles. Nassau County consists of three towns, sixty-four incorporated villages, and two cities, while Suffolk County consists of ten towns, and thirty-one villages. The objective of this section of the study was to present demographic factors that can impact school districts in the bi-county, Nassau/Suffolk, region of Long Island. The demographic factors considered were population, resident characteristics, birthrate, housing, and nonpublic school attendance. A. POPULATION The number of ~eople residing in an area can be changed in three ways: by births, by deaths, and by net migration; that is, the difference between the number of people who move into an area and the number who move out during a specific period of time. Despite the high cost of living, Long Island's comparative advantage has always been its extraordinary natural resources, says Pearl Kamer, former chief economist of the Long Island Regional Planning Board. Nassau and Suffolk Counties each have their share of attractions that enhance the region's leisure and economic lure. The Long Island Sound, the harbors of the North Shore, the beaches and bays on the south, the parks and vineyards, and historic villages, attract much tourism. The influx of residents on the east end of the Island, widely known as "The Hamptons", has a dramatic effect on the population during the summer months. The population data provided in this report, though, are for year-round residents only, and do not reflect seasonal variations which would affect, in particular, eastern towns located on the Island's forks. In recent years, however, with the increasing popularity of personal computers and internet access, many "wall streeters" and corporate executives are opting to work at home and maintain permanent residency at their seasonal/vacation homes. This trend has been gradually increasing population on the eastern end of Long Island. Not only is the Island seen as a place to live, but also to work and play. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 3 A review of LIPA Population Figures (Table 2) indicates that both Nassau and Suffolk Counties saw growth between 1990 and 2000. Nassau County has gained approximately 47,196 persons over the past ten years, with gains of 1 - 4 perCent noted in Nassau's major municipalities. Suffolk County has gained roughly 96,834 new residents since 1990, with estimated gains of 2 - 22 percent in each of its Towns, with the exception of Shelter Island. While the Town of East Hampton is reported to have shown the most growth over the past decade, the Town of Brookhaven actually gained the greatest number of people between 1990 and 2000. According to LIPA's 2002 Population Survey, both Counties showed growth beyond their estimated populations for 2001. Nassau County showed growth of 3,953 persons above that estimated for January 1, 2001, while Suffolk County is estimated to have increased by 12,924 over that reported as a 2001 LIPA estimate. Nassau and Suffolk Counties together gained approximately 144,030 people between 1990 and 2000, reaching a total population of more than 2.7 million persons. TABLE 2 - REGIONAL POPULATION 1990 -2001 estimates NASSAU (C) 1,287,348 1,334,544 1,340,289 SUFFOLK (C) 1,322,535 1,419,~69 1,440,870 N/S REGION 2,609,883 2,753,913 2,781,159 ;ource: LIPA The age distribution of the population in both Counties showed overall stability between 1990 and 2000, as shown in Table 3. The preschool-age segment (0 - 4 years) rose slightly in Nassau County, which began to increase the kindergarten population and, subsequently, the school-age population (5 - 19 years). The pre- school population remained stable in Suffolk County, while the school-age segment continued to grow over the last ten years. These gains have contributed to the regional enrollment gains that have added a 20 percent student gain in Nassau County (1990 - 2000) and an 18 percent gain in Suffolk County (1990 - 2000). The 20 - 54 year age group stayed consistent in Nassau County, as the 55+ age group segment declined slightly. Suffolk County has seen a decrease in the number of people aged 20 - 54, and an increase in the number of people over 55. The increase in the adult population refle(~ts the aging of the baby boom population; those of whom are entering into the 55+ age group. It is this generation that produced the record numbers of school-age children responsible for the enrollment surge in the 1990's. =,IBUTION ~F THE REGIONAL POPULATION 1990 - 2000 LOCATION Under 5 5 - t9 20 - 54 55+ Years NASSAU 1990 6.1% 19.8% 48.5% 25.6% 2000 6.5% 20.4% 48.6% 24.5% SUFFOLK 1990 7.0% 20.7% 52.5% 19.8% 2000 7.1% 21.3% 50.5% 21.1% ource: U.S. Dept. f Commerce, ~ureau of the Census Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 4 ! i I I I I I I I I I I According to the U.S. Census Bureau, nearly 1 in 3 Americans is a member of a minodty group. However, the White population is still the largest racial group, even as the country moves toward greater diversity. Nassau and Suffolk Counties have seen shifts in its minority population over the last several years. Although an exact comparison of the total resident population in 1990 and 2000 is difficult due to changes in the way ethnicity may have been reported in the most recent Census, the data suggest that the non-Hispanic, White population has declined over the past ten years, while other races have seen increases, mirroring national trends. Based on Census and government projections, the White population is expected to continue to decline, as seen over the last 20 years. Hispanics and Asians together will make up almost a third of the Islandwide population, and Hispanics are expected to become the largest minority group by 2020. The Asian population is also expected to surpass Blacks in number, as the Island's Black population remains relatively stable. As cultural and racial minorities grow, diversity will become the norm in many Long Island communities (Newsday, 8/2002). The increasing immigration of women into the area from other countries impacts birth trends, and has the potential to perpetuate' birthrates and change average family size. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, immigrants who came to this country in the 1980's and 1990's have had higher birthrates than those of non- immigrants. These ethnic groups, who tend to be younger than native-bom residents, arrive with children or start families here, driving the number of births and subsequent school enrollments. The Census Bureau states that there has been a boom in the nation's student population, with enrollment reaching record numbers seen in the early 70's. The original baby boomers have become parents and their children have been joined by children from immigrant families, sustaining heightened school enrollments. B. BIRTH DATA' In the baby boom of 1946 through 1966 more children were born than at any other time in our history. Births after that time began to decline and hit an all time Iow in !973, which was termed the "baby bust" year. Following this, births again began to rise, as more women had children and immigration rose. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau indicate that population growth slowed in the 1980's, but has climbed back to higher levels in recent years. While some analysts have pointed to a "baby-boom echo", with the children of the original baby-boom generation as a principal factor in the population swell, demographers cite immigration as the leading factor. Overall, the bi-county region has experienced a resurgence in the birthrate since 1980. New York State Department of Health records show that the 1990 birthrate was larger than that of 1980. The birthrate for Nassau County was 10.26 births per thousand in 1980 and rose to 14.12 births per thousand in 1990. The birthrate rose in Suffolk County from 12.85 in 1980 to 16.08 in 1990. The historical rise in live births through 1990 carried tremendous implications for public school enrollment, as was evident in the number of children enrolled in kindergarten five years later. The latest data released by the New York State Department of Health demonstrate stabilization in the number of live births since 1990 for both Nassau and Suffolk Counties. The birthrate for Nassau County was 12.65 per thousand, while the birthrate for Suffolk County was 14.22 births per thousand, in 2000. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 5 A return to peak birth rates, such as the 25.6 blahs per thousand population of Nassau County in 1952 and 25.7 births per thousand population of Suffolk in 1960, is not anticipated, however, due to womens employment opportunities, access to birth control, smaller family sizes, greater number of childless families, an aging population in general, and the economic times. The events of and following September 11, 2001 have created an uncertain future. As people reassess their future, family needs, and values, it will be important to view the impact this recent occurrence will have on regional birth trends over the next decade. According to the New York State Department of Education, the number of births is expected to remain fairly stable over the next ten years. Long Range projections by the Census Bureau indicate a rising number of births thereafter, establishing what is termed the "Millenni-Boom." The growth rate of school enrollment is directly attributable to the birthrates in the region. 50000- 45000- ~40000 ~_ ~35000 .~' 30000 -~ 25000 20000 15000 ................ ~ar of kinderga~en -- -- -- Bi-County Births 5 yrs Prior to K Bi-County Kindergarten Figure 1 - Comparison of Ri -- County Births to Kindergarten grade 5 Years Later If national projections are indicative of regional demographics, then it is estimated that the number of school-aged children will remain relatively stable over the next ten years, followed by a pattern of steady increases in the number of students. It is of note, however, that these projections assume that current trends will continue in birth rates, immigration, and migration patterns among the residents of the bi-county region. C. HOUSING The number of school-age children living within a community is a primary factor in determining school enrollments. Housing factors influencing the number of students in the area include potential for new development, turnover of existing housing, and proportion of rented housing. i The amount of available land in an area naturally affects the amount of potential housing. Population density (persons or pupils per square mile) presents a general index of available land and population composition. The population density decreases with easterly distance from New York City. Nassau County uses land at a relatively high density and with a high student yield. This suggests limited potential for further development in this area. New housing in Nassau County generally consists of spot building and estate subdivision. Between 600 - 800 single family residential permits have been issued each year since 1995 in Nassau County. The relatively Iow density at which Suffolk County utilizes land, and the corresponding Iow student yield, suggests that greater development in Suffolk County than Nassau County is feasible. Approximately 3,000 - 4,500 residential permits were issued in Suffolk County for single family home construction between 1995 and 2000. The Pine Barrens Land Use Plan will impact future housing development in the Towns of Brookhaven, Southampton, and Riverhead. I I I i Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 6 II I i I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I In addition, building moratoriums instituted in several villages and townships, along with land acquisition by the County and conservation groups, will affect housing development. According to the 2000 permit information provided by the Census Bureau, the bi- county region has seen a continued decrease in the number of permits issued for new residential construction. In 2000, a total of 4,663 permits were issued in Nassau and Suffolk Counties for single family housing, while in 2001, 4,176 permits were issued. The number of permits issued for single family construction was down approximately 10 percent over the previous year year. Year-to-date estimates indicate a continued decline in the number of permits issued for single family homes in both Counties in 2002. Census data also indicate an overall decline in the number of permits issued for multi-family units since 2000. While Nassau County saw a decrease in the number of muFti-family dwellings through 2001, Suffolk County saw an increase between 2000 and 2001; mostly accounted for by the number of assisted living facilities that have become so popular. Current estimates for both Counties indicate a continued decline in the number of multi-family permits issued through 2002. There are a greater number of existing homes than new homes. Therefore, it is vital to view resale activity as a key to potential changes in area resident characteristics. According to LIPA estimates there are approximately 448,908 existing households in Nassau County, and an estimated 475,866 in Suffolk County in 2001. An annual turnover of 3 - 5 percent translates to approximately 18,000 homes in Nassau and 19,000 in Suffolk County that will see new residents each year. The regional trend has been for home buyers to be younger and have more school-age children than home sellers. An analysis of deed transactions reported by the New York State Office of Real Property Services indicated a growing number of home sales between 1995 and 1999, with increases of 3 - 14 percent noted each year. This growth has been reflected in public school gains in movement between grades due to a higher in-migration of students to the region. In 2000 and 2001, however, there was a decrease in the number of homes sold in both Counties. Nassau County showed a 13 percent loss between 1999 and 2001, while Suffolk County showed a 15 percent loss over the past 3 years. Preliminary figures for 2002 indicate a continued decline in the number of home sales, as welt. Despite the decline in home sales, the median selling price of homes has risen faster on Long Island than in any other major metropolitan area, according to a real estate group cited by Newsday. Recent events have lead to a mild recession, although Long Island has continued to generate jobs throughout the economic slowdown. Low mortgage rates, a limited supply of land for new homes, and a growing sense that homes are a better investment than the volatiJe stock market, have also fueled the recent demand for housing in the area. The owner of a house or a renter of a property can inhabit occupied housing. It is generally believed that rental units attract a more transient population, with fewer school-aged children than owner occupied housing. However, affordability and availability of multi-bedroom units, as well as changes in family structure (i.e., single parent households) have attracted a number of families with children interested in settling in certain communities. While transience within rental units may not be as common as it was in past years, it may contribute to fluctuating movement in school grade to grade transitions. The amount of occupied housing that is rented in the bi- county region has remained relatively stable between 1990 and 2000, at approximately 20 percent. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 7 The number of households in the bi-county area increased by approximately 7 percent between 1990 and 2000, and then by another 1 percent over the past year. The number of housing units increased by 44,242 homes, or 10 percent, in Suffolk County between 1990 and 2000. The number of housing units increased by 15,533, or approximately 4 percent, in Nassau County during this time. Growth continued between 2000 and 2001, although at a slower rate. Suffolk County increased by 8,925 homes, or 1.5 percent, while Nassau County grew by 1,860 households, or less than 1 percent, during this time. Suffolk County leads Nassau County in the number of year-round households by almost 27,000 homes. This difference increases even more during the summer when Suffolk experiences a large influx of tourists with seasonal homes on the east end. While the number of households may have increased, the average household size in the Nassau/Suffolk area has remained relatively stable between 1990 and 2000. Nassau County household size held steady from 2.94 in 1990, to an estimated 2.98 in 2000. The nation's median age is higher than ever, rising from 32.9 in 1990 to 35.3 in 2000. The increase in the median age reflects the aging of the baby boomers. Both Nassau and Suffolk Counties experienced an increase in median age between 1990 and 2000, rising from 37 to 38.5 in Nassau County, and from 34 to 36.5 in Suffolk County. This factor illustrates an aging population. The increase in births since the mid 1980's has slowed the decline in household size. 2000 Federal Census data revealed that children under the age.of 18 resided in approximately 40 percent of the occupied households in the region. A decrease was noted in the overall percentage of households with children since 1990, which is also supportive of an aging society. D. NONPUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT A final factor that has the potential to impact public school enrollment is the attendance of students in the non-public schools. In 2001, nonpublic school enrollment represented approximately 11 percent of the region's total student enrollment, with approximately 15 percent of Nassau's student population and 7 percent of Suffolk's student population attending nonpublic schools. An increasing percentage of children attending public schools has been seen since 1980, when 12 percent of the region's students attended nonpublic schools. This decline in nonpublic school enrollment contributes to the increase in regional public school enrollment since 1990. Additionally, greater return to the public schools from the nonpublic schools is typically seen in grades 1 and 9. The demographics of a nation, state, or county forecast over a period of years may show trends that would otherwise be imperceptible over a shorter amount of time. Therefore, anticipation of shifts in population and demographic distribution are important to the success of a society, and are particularly important in forecasting school enrollment. The ability to project student populations accurately promotes the success of the District. Annual Regional Nassau · Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page I i I I I I I I i I I I II NASSAU - SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT A. OVERVIEW The enrollment data used for this study of the bi-county, Nassau/Suffolk, regional public school enrollment were obtained from the New York State Education Department for 1991- 92 through 2001-02. The state obtained their data directly from each school district. It is, however, common for district records to differ from those provided by the State. The intent of this study was to analyze historical trends of the region in order to project general trends for the future. The Nassau/Suffolk region consists of 127 public school districts; with 56 school districts in Nassau County, and 71 school districts in Suffolk County, as detailed on Appendix pages A- l through A-3. The majority of these school districts maintain schools to educate students in grades K - 12 (95); however, also in existence are districts configured as follows K - 6 (20), K - 8 (5), 1 - 3 (1), 2 - 4 (1), 7 - 12 (4), and one ungraded district. The average regional district enrollment consisted of 3,623 students during the 2001-02 school year; with enrollment ranging from 11 students (New Suffolk CSD, grades K - 6, Suffolk County) to 16,020 students (Brentwood UFSD, grades K- 12, Suffolk County). The public school districts in the Nassau/Suffolk region maintain a total of 647 instructional facilities, with 311 schools in Nassau County and 336 schools in Suffolk County, as detailed on Appendix pages A-4 through A-16. Three new buildings were opened in Nassau County this year. A further breakdown of this data shows that the average elementary school contained 539 students during the 2001-02 school year, similar to the 2000-01 enrollment. Elementary enrollment ranged from 11 students in the New Suffolk Common School (grades K - 6, New Suffolk Common SD, Suffolk County), to 1,611 students in the Longwood Middle School (grades 5 - 6, Longwood CSD, Suffolk County). It is important to note that although this facility is referred to as a "Middle School", all students in grades K - 6 were included in the elementary grade category. The average middle school contained 911 students during the 2001-02 school year, up approximately 4 percent from 2000-01. Middle grades enrollment ranged from 267 students in the Port Jefferson Middle School (grades 6 - 8, Pod Jefferson UFSD, Suffolk County) to 1,881 students in the Lindenhurst Middle School (grades 6 - 8, Lindenhurst UFSD, Suffolk County). The average high school contained 1,198 students during the 2001-02 school year, up 3 percent from 2000-01. Secondary enrollment ranged from 41 students in the Village School (grades 9 - 12, Great Neck UFSD, Nassau County) to 4,301 students in the Sachem High School (grades 9 - 12, Sachem CSD, Suffolk County). Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 9 A total of 17 schools changed grade configurations in 2001-02, with 7 schools affected in 3 Nassau County districts, and 10 schools affected in 6 Suffolk County districts. Additionally, 3 schools were newly created or reopened in Nassau County this past year, while one Kindergarten Center closed inactive in 2001. B. ENROLLMENT It is noted that the methodology employed in preparation of projections requires the use of statistics, and number rounding of fractions to the nearest whole number. Therefore, the sum of the numbers presented in tables may not always equal the presented total. 1. K- 12 ENROLLMENT Following a decline in public school enrollment in the 1970's and early 1980's, enrollment in grades K - 12 increased dramatically through the 1990's. The United States Department of Education expects this growth to continue and peak by 2005, and then begin to decline slightly. The local region, too, has experienced enrollment growth, particularly since 1990. 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 ~ tO0000 Nassau/Suffolk Region Suffolk County .. Nassau County 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 t 2 3 4 5 6 year Figure 2 - Regional K - 12 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 As shown in Figure 2, regional enrollment rose throughout the historical period, with 72,386 students gained between 1991 and 2001. ' Since 1991, Nassau County showed an overall gain of 33,915 students, or 20 percent of its enrollment. Suffolk County showed an overall gain of 38,471 students, or 18 percent of its enrollment over the last decade. The bi-county ungraded enrollment has continued to show a decline each year since 1999. In 2001/02, an 8 percent loss was noted, resembling the 9 percent decline the year before. As Districts explore the options for special education students, such as inclusion programs, we may see shifts in this population, as well as in the grade level counts. The total number of students enrolled in public school will not change. However, the placement of students receiving special services is subject to individual District practice, and may result in variations in total bi-county grade level enrollments. For the purposes of preparing · enrollment projections, the assumption was made that the ungraded enrollment, as a separate count, will continue to decline as greater numbers of special education students are transitioned into regular education classes. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School, Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page The regional K - 12 enrollment is projected to continue the increases seen during the past ten years. A regional increase of 5.5 percent is projected between 2001 and 2006, bdnging the regional enrollment from 460,118 students in 2001 to 485,437 students in 2006. Suffolk County is projected to rise at a slightly faster rate (6 percent) than Nassau County (5 percent) during this time. The K - 12 enrollment in Nassau County is projected to rise from 205,919 students in 2001-02 to 215,585 students in 2006-07. The K - 12 enrollment in Suffolk County is projected to rise from 254,199 students in 2001-02 to 269,852 students in 2006-07. The historical and projected enrollment is presented in Table 4, and detailed on Appendix pages B-1 through B-6. TABLE 4 - REGIONAL ENROLLMENT 1991 -2006 Year Un~lraded K-6 6-8 9-12 I K-12 199t 12,453 172~692 86~200 116,387I 387,732 1992 13,611 175,783 86,309 115,704 391,407 1993 16,699 179,758 86,819 115,407 395~683 t994 13,578 185,193 87,623 114,868 401,262 1995 13,827 191,643 88,068 114, 677 408,2t 5 1996 14,2t9 196,879 89,285 115,587 415,970 1997 14,510 201,499 91,029 115,687 422,725 1998 14,049 206,573 94,876 117,224 432,722 1999 14,223 209,767 99,249 119,106 442,345 2000 12,929 212,658 104,597 121,885 452,069 2001 11,835 212,649 109,083 126,551 460,118 projected 2002 11,144 212,368 112,046 132,097 467,655 projected 2003 10,461 211,806 113,992 137,729 473,988 projected 2004 9,803 211,192 113,821 144,776 479,592 projected 2005 9,157 210,417 114,400 149,548 483,521 projected 2006 8,514 209,794 114,310 152,820 485,437 Source: Historical data from the New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data Projections prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning & Research The projected enrollment increases can be attributed to several factors. First, Nassau County exhibited the trend to maintain or gain students in transition to grades 1 through 9. Suffolk exhibited the trend to ~lain or maintain students in transition to grade 1, and grades 3 through 9. The greatest gains, in both Counties, are noted in transition to grades 1 and 9. These are the grades generally most influenced by the return of nonpublic students to the public schools. The gain in students that move from kindergarten to first grade in the public schools is often affected by the availability of a full-day kindergarten program. Generally, the districts that do not offer a full-day program will see a larger gain than those that do. The public schools have increased the offering of full-day kindergarten programs over the past ten years. In 2001/02, 87 of the 120 school districts that offered a kindergarten program, had full-day programs, as compared to 73 districts in 2000-01. Changing family patterns, including more single parent households, an increased number of working parents, and an increase in the number of children with previous pre-school or day care experience, creates the need for both parents and children, to have full-day programs. While the state of New York encourages districts to develop full-day kindergarten programs, insufficient and uncertain funding has made it difficult for interested districts to initiate. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 11 Second, the kindergarten enrollment increased steadily between 1991 and 1995, and remained relatively stable through 2000. Slight growth Was noted in 2001. Enrollment is' expected to remain-somewhat steady, relative to the influence of housing factors (higher movement of younger families into districts), paired with birthrates and number of live births in the region. While Nassau County births have shown a slight decline over the past few years, Suffolk County births have risen. The changes in the ethnic diversity of the region are also projected to maintain a higher overall birthrate. Third, a significant contributor to the regional enrollment growth between 1991 and 2001 has been a larger incoming kindergarten class displacing a smaller graduating class. Continued gains are projected to add 784 - 4,108 students per year between 2002 and 2005. Foudh, relative to these factors is increasing grade level size. The average regional grade level size of grades 2 - 12 is projected to show gains in 2001 - 2006, as compared to the average grade level size in 1996- 2001. 25% 20% 1OO/o 5./.-- 0% -5% 96 - 01 '01 - 06 comparative years Figure 3 - Regional Grade Enrollment Comparison 1996 - 2006 As shown in Figure 3, the greatest enrollment growth during the past five years (1996 - 2001) was in the middle grade configuration. Growth is projected to continu~ in the middle grades through 2005, and the secondary grades through 2006, as increased grade levels progress through the system. The greatest growth during the projection period is shown in the secondary grade configuration. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page I ! I 2. ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT (K- 5) 250000 - 200000 ~ 150000 '*~ 100000 "0 '~ 50000 Nassau/Suffolk Region ar~'~k - Suffolk County Nassau County 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 year The regional K - 5 enrollment rose by 39,957 students; or 23 percent, between 1991 and 2001, bringing the enrollment to 212,649 students. Nassau and Suffolk Counties both have shown growth since 1991. Nassau County gained 17,284 students, or 22 percent, during the past ten years, while Suffolk County gained 22,673 students, or almost 24 3ercent, over the last decade. Figure 4 - Regional K - 5 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 The regional K - 5 enrollment is projected to decline throughout the projection period, with a loss of 2,855 students, or 1.3 percent of the current enrollment, between 2001and 2006. Nassau is projected to fall to 92,455 students by 2006-07, while Suffolk County is expected to fall to 117,339 students by this same time. 3. MIDDLE ENROLLMENT (6 - 8) 140000 120000 100000 ~ 80000 · ,~0oooo · '13 40000 20000 Nassau/Suffolk Region Suffolk County l..m=m==m=:m=t Nassau County 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 year Figure 5 - Regional 6 - 8 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 The regional 6 - 8 enrollment rose by 22,883 students between 1991 and 2001, as shown in Figure 5. Nassau County gained about 28 percent during 1991 and 2001, while Suffolk County showed an overall gain of approximately 25 percent during this time. The regional 6 - 8 enrollment is projected to rise, with an increase of 5,227 students, or 5 percent, between 2001 and 2006. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 13 Nassau County is expected to grow by 4 percent, or 1,821 students, during the projection period. Suffolk County is forecasted to gain 3,406 students, or 6 percent, during this time. The 6 - 8 enrollment in Nassau County is projected to rise from 49,704 students in 2001-02 to 51,525 students in 2006-07. Suffolk County enrollment is expected to grow from 59,379 students in 2001.02 to 62,785 students by 2006-07. 4.SECONDARY ENROLLMENT (9 - 12) The regional 9 - 12 lso00o -~ Nassau/Suffolk Region ~ enrollment showed an overall increase of 10,164 ~ ~4oooo ~ ~ students between 1991 and 2001, as shown in Figure 6. '~ '~ooooo~ - Suffolk County ~ Nassau County enrollment =e 60000 remained relatively stable . ....... ---=--a--e-a"'. ~.~~ through 1992, and then ~ 60000 ~ 7 7 * ; ; ~ ~ - rose between 1993 and ~ 4oooo Nassau County 2001. An overall gain of · ~ 20000 6,578 students, or 13 , , , percent, is noted, however, 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 during the ten-year period. year Figure 6 - Regional 9- 12 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 Suffolk County showed losses throughout most of the historical period, but was followed by growth beginning in 1998. The regional 9 - 12 enrollment is projected to show growth of 21 percent between 2001 and 2006, bringing the regional 9 - 12 enrollment from 126,551 students in 2001-02 to 152,820 students in 2006-07. Nassau County is projected to continue historical gains, with an 18 percent rise in secondary enrollment, bringing the number of students to 69,183 by 2006-07. Suffolk County is expected to show growth, as well. A 23 percent increase in enrol merit is projected between 2001 and 2006, bringing the number of students to 83,637 by the end of the projection period. - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 14 ~ Annual Regional Nassau ~ The Western Suffolk BOCES, Division of instructional Support Services, Office of School Planning & Research, offers assistance to school districts in long range )lanning. This assistance includes expert, objective analysis of demographic and ~nrollment trends, projection of future enrollments by school and grade, evaluates the ducational capacities of all facilities, and investigates organizational options which For further details, or to contract for this service, please contact: Bonnie Cap. School Planning Coordinator Division of instructional Support Services Western Suffolk BOCES - Washington Learning Center 220 Washington Avenue Deer Park, New York 11729 Phone (631) 242 - 1128 E-mail: bca wsboces.or . APPENDIX A NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 rurce: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data ~OUNTY DISTRICT GRADES ENROLLMENT I ASSAU Baldwin K - 12 5,406 ASSAU Bellmore K - 6 1,3`13 NASSAU Belimore-Merrick 7 - 12 5,462 I ASSAU Bethpage K - 12 2,925 ASSAU Carla Place K - 12 1,561 ASSAU East Meadow K - 12 8,047 NASSAU East Rockaway K - 12 1,263 I ASSAU East Williston K - 12 1,671 ASSAU Elmont K - 6 4,095 ASSAU Farmingdale K- 12 6,443 i ASSAU Floral Park K - 6 1,584 ASSAU Franklin Square K - 6 1,887 ASSAU Freeport K- 12 6,894 NASSAU Garden City K - 12 3,926 I ASSAU Glen Cove K - 12 3,216 ASSAU Great Neck K - 12 5,925 ASSAU Hempstead K - 12 7,032 NASSAU Herricks K - 12 3,868 t ASSAU Hewlett Woodmere K - 12 3,273 ASSAU Hicksville K - 12 4,992 NASSAU Island Park K - 8 808 I ASSAU Island Trees K - 12 2,696 ASSAU Jericho K- 12 3,059 ASSAU Lawrence K - 12 3,704 NASSAU Levittown K - 12 7,908 i ASSAU Locust Valley K - 12 2,168 ASSAU Long Beach K- 12 4,302 NASSAU Lynbrook K - 12 3,077 i ASSAU Malverne K - 12 1,836 ASSAU Manhasset K - 12 2,5'11 ASSAU Massapequa K- 12 7,988 NASSAU Merrick K - 6 1,961 I ASSAU Mineola K- 12 2,727 ASSAU New Hyde Park K - 6 1,648 ASSAU North Bellmore K - 6 2,520 ASSAU North Merrick K - 6 `1,308 ASSAU North Shore K - 12 2,569 ASSAU Oceanside K - 12 6,304 NASSAU Oyster Bay-East Norwich K - 12 1,458 J ASSAU P[ainedge K - 12 3,434 ASSAU Plainview-OId Bethpage K- 12 4,767 ASSAU Port Washington K - 12 4,581 NASSAU Rockville Centre K - 12 3,636 iASSAU Roosevelt - 3,175 K 12 ASSAU Roslyn K - 12 3,069 NASSAU Seaford K - 12 2,628 ASSAU Sewanhaka 7 - 12 8,168 ASSAU Syosset K - 12 6,370 ASSAU Uniondale K - 12 6,078 NASSAU Valley Stream CHSD 7 - 12 4,313 , ASSAU Valley Stream #13 K - 6 2,226 ASSAU Valley Stream #24 K - 6 1,091 NASSAU Valley Stream #30 K - 6 1,501 ASSAU Wantagh K- 12 3,415 ASSAU West Hempstead K - 12 2,377 ASSAU Westbury K - 12 3,755 iprepared by Western Suffolk BOCES, Office of School Planning Research A-2 NASSAU-SUFFOLK - DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 o 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT GRADES ENROLLMENT SUFFOLK Amagansett K - 6 112 SUFFOLK Amityville K- 12 3,172 SUFFOLK Babylon K - 12 1,999 SUFFOLK Bay Shore K - 12 5,559 SUFFOLK Bayport- Blue Point K- 12 2,384 SUFFOLK Brentwood K - 12 16,020 SUFFOLK Bridgehampton K - 12 148 SUFFOLK Center Moriches K - 12 1,375 SUFFOLK Central Islip K- 12 5,406 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor K- 12 1,999 SUFFOLK Commack K - 12 7,045 SUFFOLK Comsewogue K- 12 3,873 SUFFOLK Connetquot K - 12 7,001 SUFFOLK Copiague K - 12 4,540 SUFFOLK Deer Park K - 12 4,229 SUFFOLK East Hampton K - 12 1,937 SUFFOLK East Islip K - 12 5,227 · SUFFOLK East Moriches K- 8 700 SUFFOLK East Quogue K - 6 446 SUFFOLK Eastport K - 6 944 SUFFOLK Eastport-South Manor CHSD 7 - 12 1,08t SUFFOLK Elwood K - 12 2,360 SUFFOLK Fire Island K - 6 53 SUFFOLK Fishers Island K- 12 62 SUFFOLK Greenport K - 12 652 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills K - 12 8,699 SUFFOLK Hampton Bays K- 12 1,681 SUFFOLK Harbodields K - 12 3,278 SUFFOLK Hauppauge K - 12 3,907 SUFFOLK Huntington K- 12 4,109 SUFFOLK Islip K- 12 3,523 SUFFOLK Kings Park K - 12 3,862 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst K - 12 7,627 SUFFOLK Little Flower ungraded 99 SUFFOLK Longwood K - 12 9,863 SUFFOLK Mattituck K - 12 1,545 SUFFOLK Middle Country K - 12 10,985 SUFFOLK Miller Place K - 12 2,965 SUFFOLK Montauk K - 8 425 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai K - 12 2,394 SUFFOLK New Suffolk K - 6 11 SUFFOLK North Babylon K- 12 5,173 SUFFOLK Northport-'East Northport K - 12 6,088 SUFFOLK Oysterponds K - 6 116 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford K- 12 9,141 SUFFOLK Por[ Jefferson K - 12 1,106 SUFFOLK Quogue K - 6 99 SUFFOLK Remsenburg - Speonk K - 6 169 SUFFOLK Riverhead K - 12 4,828 SUFFOLK Rocky Point K - 12 3,524 SUFFOLK Sachem K - 12 15,136 I I Ii Ii ! A-3 NASSAU-SUFFOLK ' DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data .............. ............ - couN~ .................................................................. Sag Harbor K- 12 SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK Sa9aponack 2 - 4 Sayville K - 12 Shelter Island K - 12 Shoreham-Wading River K - 12 Smithtown K - 12 South Country K - 12 South Huntington K - 12 South Manor K - 6 Southampton K - 12 Southold K - 12 Springs K - 8 Throe Village K - 12 Tuckahoe Common K - 8 Wainscott 1 - 3 West Babylon K - 12 West Islip K - 12 Westhampton Beach K- 12 William Floyd K - 12 15 3,610 285 2,621 9,453 4,666 6,007 959 1,707 990 576 7,813 292 12 4,837 5,810 1,768 9,997 SUFFOLK Wyandanch K - 12 2,221 T'rL NASSAU 56 205,919 TTL K-12 DISTRICTS 41 80.6% 166,034 TTL K-6 DISTRICTS 11 10.3% 21,134 'I-FL K-8 DiSTRiCTS 1 0.4% 808 '~'L 7~12 DISTRICTS 3 8.7% 17,943 TOTAL 56 100.0% 205,919 1,263 SMALLEST K-12 East Rockaway 8,047 LARGEST K-12 East Meadow 808 SMALLEST Is~and Park 8,168 LARGEST E~st Meadow 3,677 MEAN 3,196 MEDIAN 254,199 'Fi'L SUFFOLK 71 TTL K-12 DISTRICTS 54 97.6% 248,090 'rTL K-8 DISTRICTS 4 0.8% 1,993 'rTL K-6 DISTRICTS 9 1.1% 2,909 TTL 7-12 DISTRICTS 1 0.4% 11081 OTHER: 1-3, 2-4 2 0.0% 27 UNGRADED 1 0.0% 99 TOTAL 71 254,199 62 SMALLEST K-12 Fishers island 16,020 LARGEST K-12 Brentwood 11 SMALLEST New Suffolk 16,020 LARGEST Brentwood 3,580 MEAN 2,394 MEDIAN ....................... .......................................... 460,118 NASSAU/SUFFOLK 127 ~L K-12 DISTRICTS 95 90.0% 414,124 TTL K-8 DISTRICTS 5 0.6% 2,801 'FrL K-6 DISTRICTS 20 5.2% 24,043 TTL 7-12 DISTRICTS 4 4.1% 19,024 OTHER: 1 - 3, 2 - 4 2 0.0% 27 UNGRADED 1 0.0% 99 TOTAL 127 100.0% 460,118 3,623 MEAN 3,069 MEDIAN prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES, Office of School Planning Research A-4 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU West Hempstead Chestnut Street School K 167 NASSAU Bellmore Reinhard ECC K 180 NASSAU Lynbrook Kindergarten Center K 216 NASSAU Lawrence School 4 K 255 NASSAU Westbury Dryden Street School K 304 NASSAU Plainview Plainview Kng Center K 338 NASSAU Freeport Columbus Ave. ECC K 434 NASSAU Oceanside School 6 K 465 NASSAU Hempstaad Early Childhood Cntr. K 489 NASSAU Garden City Locust School K- 1 165 NASSAU Garden City Hemlock School K - 1 185 NASSAU Garden City Homestead School K - 1 256 NASSAU Roslyn Roslyn Heights ES K - 1 424 NASSAU Hewlett-Woodmere Franklin ECC K - 1 427 NASSAU Oyster Bay Roosevelt School K - 2 338 NASSAU Carle Place Cherry Lane School K - 2 355 NASSAU Glen Cove Gdbbin School K - 2 361 NASSAU Glen Cove Deasy School K - 2 442 NASSAU Roosevelt Harry D. Daniels School K - 3 308 NASSAU Malverne Downing School K - 4 319 NASSAU Malverne Davison Ave. ES K - 4 337 NASSAU Island Trees J.F. Sparke School K - 4 400 NASSAU Island Park Francis X. Hegarty ES K - 4 433 NASSAU East Williston North Side School K - 4 588 NASSAU Island Trees M.F. Stokes School K - 4 629 NASSAU Baldwin Milbum ES K - 5 136 NASSAU Rockville Centre Riverside School K - 5 165 NASSAU Baldwin Shubert ES K - 5 213 NASSAU Baldwin Brookside ES K - 5 228 NASSAU Rockville Centre Watson School K - 5 240 NASSAU Mineola Meadow Ddve School K - 5 252 NA:SSAU Hicksville Dutch Lane School K - 5 277 NASSAU Mineola Cross St'. School K - 5 285 NASSAU Baldwin Steele ES K - 5 289 NASSAU Mineola Hampton St. School K - 5 290 NASSAU Rockville Centre Wm. S. Covert School K - 5 294 NASSAU Hicksville Burns Ave. School K - 5 300 NASSAU Hicksville Fork Lane School K - 5 323 NASSAU Hicksville Old Country Rd. School K - 5 323 NASS~,U Uniondaie Grand Ave. School K - 5 327 NASSAU Hicksville Woodland Ave. School K - 5 328 NASSAU Syosset Willits ES K - 5 341 NASSAU Baldwin Lenox ES K - 5 346 NASSAU North Shore Sea Cliff ES K - 5 353 NASSAU Hicksville East Street School K - 5 357 NASSAU North Bellmore Martin Ave. ES K - 5 360 NASSAU Levittown Lee Road School K - 5 360 NASSAU Long Beach West ES K - 5 364 NASSAU Syosset Walt Whitman ES K - 5 380 NASSAU Syosset South Grove ES K - 5 381 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research m ! m ! ! II I! ! II II I m I! II II l III l ! A-5 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data cOUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU Bethpage Kramer Lane ES NASSAU Wantagh Mandalay ES NASSAU Syosset Village ES NASSAU Rockville Centre Wilson School NASSAU North Shore Glen Head ES NASSAU Plainedge Eastplain School NASSAU Jericho Cantaigue ES NASSAU Long Beach East ES NASSAU Port Washington John J. Daly ES NASSAU Jericho Robert Seaman ES NASSAU Syosset Baylis ES NASSAU Hicksville Lee Ave. School NASSAU Bethpage C. Campagne Schoo, I NASSAU East Meadow Meadowbmok ES NASSAU Wantagh Forest Lake School NASSAU Syosset Berry Hill ES NASSAU Mineola Jackson Ave. School NASSAU Rockville Centre Hewitt School NASSAU North Shore Glenwood Landing ES NASSAU Great Neck Saddle Rock School NASSAU Uniondale Smith St. School NASSAU Bethpage Central Blvd. ES NASSAU Jericho Jackson School NASSAU Baldwin Plaza ES NASSAU Herricks Denton Ave. School NASSAU Uniondate Walnut St. School NASSAU Syosset Robbins Lane ES NASSAU Great Neck J.F, Kennedy School NASSAU Great Neck E,M Baker School NASSAU Locust Valley Bayville ES NASSAU Long Beach Lindell Blvd. School NASSAU Locust Valley Locust Valley ES NASSAU Herricks Seadngtown School NASSAU Long Beach Lido ES NASSAU East Meadow Parkway School NASSAU Port Washington Manorhaven ES NASSAU Levittown Summit Lane School NASSAU Seaford Seaford Manor School NASSAU Plainedge John J. West School NASSAU Herricks Center St. School NASSAU Levittown Northside School NASSAU Port Washington J.P. Sousa ES NASSAU Plainedge C.E. Schwarting School NASSAU Port Washington Guggenheim ES NASSAU Seaford Seaford Harbor School NASSAU Baldwin Meadow ES NASSAU Levittown Gardiners Ave. School NASSAU Levittown East Broadway School NASSAU Uniondale Northern Pkwy School NASSAU Levittown Abbey Lane School K 5 K 5 K 5 K 5 K 5 K 5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 K-5 391 398 410 418 426 436 447 447 449 452 453 456 467 470 472 478 479 480 492 496 501 505 512 512 513 519 522 523 529 533 537 539 541 551 559 559 566 579 589 591 6O0 616 629 643 662 706 720 779 786 8O2 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU Uniondale Cornelius Complex K - 5 811 NASSAU East Meadow McVey ES K - 5 836 NASSAU Wantagh Wantagh School K - 5 840 NASSAU Great Neck Lakeville School K - 5 863 NASSAU East Meadow Bowling Green School K - 5 891 NASSAU East Meadow Barnum Woods School K - 5 910 NASSAU New Hyde Park Garden City PI. Park School K - 6 266 NASSAU North Bellmore Jacob Gunther ES K - 6 303 NASSAU Valley Stream 24 Brooklyn Ave. School K - 6 304 NASSAU Valley Stream 30 Forest Rd, School K - 6 305 NASSAU North Merrick H.D. Fayette School K - 6 318 NASSAU Valley Stream 24 Wm. L. Buck School K - 6 331 NASSAU Elmont Stewart Manor ES K - 6 342 NASSAU East Rockaway Centre Ave. ES K - 6 345 NASSAU New Hyde Park Manor Oaks Wm. Bowie K - 6 348 NASSAU North Bellmore Dinkelmeyer School K - 6 363 NASSAU North Bellmore Park Ave. School K - 6 383 NASSAU East Rockaway Rhame Ave. ES K - 6 387 NASSAU North Bellmore Newbddge Rd. School K - 6 437 NASSAU Valley Stream 24 R.W. Carbonaro School K - 6 456 NASSAU Valley Stream 13 Willow Rd. School K - 6 477 NASSAU North Merrick Old Mill Rd. School K - 6 481 NASSAU Valley Stream 30 Clearstream Ave. School K - 6 490 NASSAU New Hyde Park Hillside GS K - 6 492 NASSAU Franklin Square John St. School K - 6 501 NASSAU Roosevelt Centennial Ave. ES K - 6 502 NASSAU North Merrick Camp Ave. School K - 6 509 NASSAU Roosevelt Washington School K * 6 516 NASSAU Elmont Alden Terrace K - 6 520 NASSAU New Hyde Park New Hyde Pk Rd. School K - 6 542 NASSAU Merrick Chatterton School K - 6 545 NASSAU Valley Stream 13 James A. Dever School K - 6 558 NASSAU Roosevelt Ulysses Byas ES K - 6 559 NASSAU Valley Stream 13 Howell Rd. School K - 6 582 NASSAU Manhasset Munsey Park ES K - 6 584 NASSAU Massapequa Lockhad ES K - 6 604 NASSAU Franklin Square Polk St. School K - 6 616 NASSAU Farmingdale Northside ES K - 6 621 NASSAU Massapequa McKenna ES K - 6 660 NASSAU Merrick Birch School K - 6 674 NASSAU North Bellmore Saw Mill Rd. School K - 6 674 NASSAU Elmont Covert Ave. School K - 6 675 NASSAU Floral Park J.L. Childs School K - 6 687 NASSAU Valley Stream 30 Shaw Ave. School K - 6 706 NASSAU Massapequa East Lake ES K - 6 717 NASSAU Merrick Lakeside School K - 6 743 NASSAU Massapequa Fairfield ES K - 6 759 NASSAU Franklin Square Washington St. School K - 6 770 NASSAU Elmont Gotham Ave. School K - 6 773 NASSAU Manhasset Shelter Rock ES K - 6 776 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ^-7 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 · New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data ource. - _________ __ ====== ========= ===== ========= ====== =========~= I======== ...... GRADES ENROLLME ...... = =----===== .......' .... = NT couNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL Farmingdale iNASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU iNASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU Unqua ES K - 6 816 Carlson School K - 6 836 Saltzman East Mere, ES K - 6 877 Farmingdale Albany Ave. ES K - 6 891 Floral Park Floral Pk-Bellerose Schl K - 6 897 Elmont Dutch Brdwy School K - 6 949 Massapequa Birch Lane ES K - 6 1,038 Farmingdale Woodward Pkwy ES K - 6 1,293 Weatbury Park Avenue School 1 - 2 70'1 Hempstead Jackson Annex 1 - 3 361 Bellmore Winthrop Ave. Center 1 - 3 550 Freeport New Visions ES 1 - 4 268 Plainvlew Parkway School 1 - 4 357 Plainview Old Bethpage School 1 - 4 365 Plainview Pasadena ES 1 - 4 378 Plainview Stratford Rd. School 1 -4 406 Hempstead Ludium School 1 - 4 491 Freeport Archer St. School 1 - 4 600 Freeport Bayview Ave. School 1 - 4 611 Freeport Giblyn School 1 - 4 680 Lynbrook Waverly Park School 1 - 5 271 Lawrence School 6 1 - 5 280 Lawrence School 1 1 - 5 300 Lawrence School 5 1 - 5 317 West Hempstead Cornwell Ave. School 1 - 5 355 Lawrence * School 2 1 - 5 398 West Hempstead Washington School 1 - 5 462 Lynbrook West End School 1 - 5 464 Lynbrook Marion St. School 1 - 5 486 Roslyn Harbor Hill School I - 5 548 Hempstead Rhodes ES 1 - 5 571 Oceanside School 4 1 - 6 396 Oceanside Boardman ES 1 - 6 444 Hempstead Prospect School 1 - 6 456 Oceanside School 5 1 - 6 485 Oceanside School 3 1 - 6 555 Oceanside School 2 1 - 6 566 Hempstead Fulton School 1 - 6 566 Oceanside School 8 1 - 6 568 Valley Stream 13 Wheeler Ave. School 1 - 6 609 Hempstead Franklin School 1 - 6 637 Hewlett-Woodmere Ogden ES 2 - 5 399 Hewlett-Woodmere Hewlett ES 2 - 5 537 Roslyn East Hills School 2 - 5 575 Garden City Stewart School 2 - 5 634 Garden City Stratford Ave. School 2 - 5 657 Glen Cove Connolly School 3 - 4 232 Glen Cove Landing School 3 - 4 237 .. NASSAU Hempstead Jackson School 3 - 5 334 NASSAU Westbury Drexel Ave. School 3 - 5 4..55 A-8 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU Weetbury Powells Lane School NASSAU Oyster Bay Vernon MS NASSAU Carle Place Rushmore Ave. School NASSAU Bellmore Shore Rd. Intermed, Cfr. NASSAU Freeport Atkinson School NASSAU East Willlston Wiflets Rd. School NASSAU Island Park Lincoln Orens School NASSAU Malverne Herber MS NASSAU Plainvlew Plainview MS NASSAU Plalnview H.B. Mattiin MS NASSAU Island Trees Island Trees MS NASSAU Glen Cove Glen Cove MS NASSAU Lynbrook Lynbrook North MS NASSAU Lynbrook Lynbmok South MS NASSAU West Hempstead West Hempstead MS NASSAU Locust Valley Locust Valley MS NASSAU Mineola Mineola MS NASSAU North Shore North Shore MS NASSAU Great Neck Great Neck North MS NASSAU Seaford Seaford MS NASSAU East Meadow Clarke MS NASSAU Uniondale Turtle Hook JHS NASSAU Syosset South Woods MS NASSAU Roslyn Rostyn MS NASSAU Bethpage J.F. Kennedy MS NASSAU Jericho Jericho MS NASSAU Wantagh Wantagh MS NASSAU Uniondale Lawrence Rd. JHS NASSAU Great Neck Great Neck South MS NASSAU Hewlett-Woodmere Woodmere MS NASSAU Westbury Westbury MS NASSAU Syosset H.B. Thompson MS NASSAU Plainedge Sylvia Packard MS NASSAU Lawrence Lawrence MS NASSAU Levittown Wisdom Lane MS NASSAU Rockville Centre South Side MS NASSAU Garden City Garden City MS NASSAU Herricks Herricks MS NASSAU Levittown Jonas E. Salk MS NASSAU Port Washington C.P. Weber MS NASSAU Long Beach Long Beach MS NASSAU Hicksville Hicksviile MS NASSAU East Meadow Woodland MS NASSAU Baldwin Baldwin MS NASSAU Hempstaad A.B.G. Schultz MS NASSAU Manhasset Manhasset MS NASSAU Bellmore-Merrick Merrick Ave. MS NASSAU Oceanside Oceanside MS NASSAU Farmingdale Howitt School NASSAU Bellmore-Merrick Grand Ave. MS 3-5 3-6 3-6 4-6 5-6 5-7 5-8 5-8 5-8 5-8 5-8 5-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 7-8 7-8 7-8 7-8 7-8 484 457 472 583 1,133 396 375 6O3 687 811 939 977 297 465 495 512 626 653 654 667 692 70O 712 723 733 772 774 795 806 82O 835 843 868 907 912 948 986 993 1,036 1,053 1,087 1,203 1,312 1,327 1,360 413 958 995 1,039 1,051 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-9 ~ NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data couNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL Freeport John W. Dodd JHS 7 - 8 1,163 NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU Massapequa Valley Stream East Rockaway Oyster Bay Carle Place Valley Stream Valley Stream Roosevett Sewanhaka Sewanhaka Sewanhaka Sewanhaka Sewanhaka East Williston Massapequa Great Neck Malverne Locust Valley North Shore Seaford Island Trees Manhasset Mineola Roslyn Bethp'age East Meadow Jericho Lynbrook West Hempstead Plainedge Wantagh Great Neck Glen Cove Levittown Westbury Bellmore-Merrick Garden City Levittown Great Neck Hewlett-Woodmere Rockville Centre Bellmore-Merrick Herricks Lawrence Port Washington Bellmore-Merrick Long Beach Hicksville Bemer JHS 7 - 8 1,266 V.S. Memorial JHS 7 - 9 '1,042 East Rockaway JSHS 7 - 12 531 Oyster Bay HS 7 - 12 663 Carle Place MSHS 7 - 12 734 V.S. North HS 7 - 12 1,073 V.S. South HS 7 - 12 1,225 Roosevelt HS 7 - 12 1,290 Floral Park Memorial HS 7 - 12 1,458 New Hyde Par~ JSHS 7 - 12 1,469 Sewanhaka HS 7 - 12 1,545 H. Frank Caray JS.HS 7 - 12 1,677 Elmont Memorial JSHS 7 - 12 1,974 W heatley School 8 - 12 687 MHS Ames Campus 9 532 Village School 9 - 12 41 Malveme SHS 9 - 12 577 Locust Valley HS 9 - 12 584 North Shore SHS 9 - 12 645 Seaford SHS 9 - 12 720 island Trees HS 9 - 12 728 Manhasset SHS 9 - 12 738 Mineola HS 9 - 12 794 Roslyn HS 9 - 12 825 Bethpage SHS 9 - 12 829 Clarke HS 9 - 12 833 Jedcho SHS 9 - 12 876 Lynbrook SHS 9 - 12 878 West Hempstead HS 9 - 12 899 Plainedge SHS 9 - 12 900 Wantagh SHS 9 - 12 929 Great Neck North HS 9 - 12 936 Glen Cove HS 9 - 12 967 Division Ave. SHS 9 - 12 975 Westbury SHS 9 - 12 976 John F. Kennedy HS 9 - 12 1,022 Garden City HS 9 - 12 1,043 MacArthur SHS 9 - 12 1,065 Great Neck South HS 9 - 12 1,077 Hewlett HS 9 - 12 1,091 South Side HS 9 - 12 t,091 S.H. Calhoun HS 9 - 12 1,151 Herdcks HS 9 - 12 1,230 Lawrence SHS 9 - 12 1,247 P.D. Schraiber SHS 9- 12 1,247 W.C. Mepham HS 9 - 12 1,250 Long Beach SHS 9 - 12 1,316 Hicksville HS 9 - 12 1,425 Plainview Plainview HS 9 - 12 1,425 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-lO NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU East Meadow East Meadow HS 9 - 12 1,583 NASSAU Baldwin Baldwin SHS 9 - 12 1,649 NASSAU Uniondale Uniondale HS 9 - 12 1,651 NASSAU Farmingdale Farmingdale SHS 9 - 12 1,722 NASSAU Hempstead Hempstead HS 9 - 12 1,777 NASSAU Oceanside Oceanside SHS 9 - 12 1,830 NASSAU Syosset Syosset SHS 9 - 12 1,850 NASSAU Freeport Freeport HS 9 - 12 2,005 NASSAU Valley Stream V.S. Central HS 10 - 12 973 NASSAU Massapequa Massapequa HS 10 - 12 1,596 SUFFOLK Little Flower Little Flower School ungraded 102 SUFFOLK Deer Park Lincoln School K 25 SUFFOLK Amityville Northeast School K 264 SUFFOLK East Islip Eady Childhood Cntr. K 380 SUFFOLK Middle Country Bicycle Path School K 402 SUFFOLK Middle Country Unity Ddve Learning Ctr. K 454 SUFFOLK Brentwood East ES K 455 SUFFOLK Central Islip Central Islip E.C.Cntr. K 483 SUFFOLK Brentwood Pine Park ES K 565 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor Goosehill Primary Ctr. K - 1 277 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading Rvr Briarcliff School K - 1 280 SUFFOLK Babylon Babylon ES K - 1 299 SUFFOLK Harborfields Taylor Ave. E.C. Cntr. K - 1 493 SUFFOLK Commack Rolling Hills School K - 2 315 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Fifth Ave. School K - 2 359 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Brook Ave. ES K - 2 396 SUFFOLK Commack Indian Hollow School K - 2 428 SUFFOLK Commack Wood Park School K - 2 498 SUFFOLK Deer Park John Quincy Adams ES K - 2 501 SUFFOLK Deer Park May Moore ES K - 2 5t4 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Ma~ G. Clarkson Schl K - 2 519 SUFFOLK Commack North Ridge School K - 2 544 SUFFOLK Elwood Harley Ave. ES K - 2 583 SUFFOLK South Huntington Countrywood Prim. Ctr. K - 2 645 SUFFOLK Miller Place Andrew Muller Pri. Schl K - 2 645 SUFFOLK South Huntington Oakwood Pdmary Ctr. K - 2 745 SUFFOLK Islip Islip K-2 Ctr. K - 2 794 SUFFOLK Huntington Flower Hill School K - 3 310 SUFFOLK Riverhead Aquebogue ES K - 3 315 SUFFOLK Huntington Washington School K - 3 337 SUFFOLK Huntington Jefferson School K - 3 339 SUFFOLK Riverhead Roanoke Ave. School K - 3 352 SUFFOLK South Country Kreamer St. School K - 3 358 SUFFOLK Huntington Southdown ES K - 3 388 SUFFOLK Riverhead Phillips Ave. School K - 3 409 SUFFOLK South Country Verne W. Critz ES K - 3 432 SUFFOLK Riverhead Riley Ave. School K- 3 449 SUFFOLK South Manor South St. School K - 3 541 SUFFOLK Kings Park Fort Salonga ES K - 3 612 SUFFOLK Kings Park Parkview ES K - 3 630 prepared by Western Suffolk SOCES Office of School Planning Research A-11 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT SUFFOLK South Country Brookhaven ES K - 3 657 SUFFOLK Rocky Point Frank J. Caraseti ES K - 3 '1,132 SUFFOLK East Hampton John M. Marshall ES K - 4 496 SUFFOLK Southampton Southampton ES K - 4 581 SUFFOLK Longwood Ridge ES K - 4 857 SUFFOLK Longwood W. Middle Island School K - 4 900 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai Mount Sinai ES K - 4 921 SUFFOLK Longwood Coram ES K - 4 941 SUFFOLK Longwood C.E. Walters School K- 4 976 SUFFOLK Wyandanch Martin Luther King ES K - 4 1,036 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Blue Point ES K - 5 252 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst Harding Ave. School K - 5 369 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford River ES K - 5 370 SUFFOLK West Islip Captree ES K - 5 386 SUFFOLK Smithtown Branch Brook ES K ~ 5 387 SUFFOLK West Babylon Forest Ave. School K - 5 395 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Norwood Ave. School K - 5 399 SUFFOLK West Babylon South Bay School K - 5 405 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst Alleghany Ave. School K - 5 408 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst E.W. Bower School K - 5 411 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Sylvan Ave. ES K - 5 419 SUFFOLK Westhampton Beach Westhampton Bch ES K - 5 423 SUFFOLK Sag Harbor Sag Harbor ES K - 5 425 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Pulaski Rd. School K - 5 437 SUFFOLK West Islip Bayview ES K - 5 440 SUFFOLK Northpbrt-E. Northport Dickinson Ave. ES K - 5 440 SUFFOLK North Babylon Marion G. Vedder ES K - 5 447 SUFFOLK Hauppauge Forest Brook ES K- 5 447 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst West Gates Ave. School K - 5 449 SUFFOLK West Babylon Tooker Ave. School K - 5 450 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Norwood Ave. School K - 5 457 SUFFOLK West Babylon Santapogue School K - 5 460 SUFFOLK Sayville Cherry Ave. ES K - 5 467 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford Bay ES K - 5 472 SUFFOLK West Islip Oquenock ES K - 5 476 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Acad. St. ES K - 5 485 SUFFOLK North Babylon Woods Rd. ES K - 5 487 SUFFOLK West Islip Paul J. Bellew ES K - 5 494 SUFFOLK West Islip Westbrook ES K - 5 499 SUFFOLK Port Jefferson Port Jefferson ES K - 5 501 SUFFOLK Smithtown Nesconset ES K - 5 504 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Clinton Ave. School K - 5 510 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Otsego ES K - 5 516 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Boyle Rd. ES K - 5 519 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Ocean Ave. School K - 5 521 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Bellerose ES K - 5 522 SUFFOLK North Babylon Parliament PI. School K - 5 522 SUFFOLK North Babylon Belmont ES K - 5 524 SUFFOLK Smithtown Mt. Pleasant ES K - 5 527 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Paumanok ES K - 5 536 prepared by Westem Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-12 m NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 rcs New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data I =====--=== ======== ========= .......... GRADES ENROLLMENT COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL =----------=== --==--=--= ===--------== = ........ N - K 5 ~ 53 North Babylon Wm. E. DeLuca Jr. ES SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills West Babylon Lindenhurst Copiague West Islip Comsewogue Temyville Rd. School Northport-E. Northport Fifth Ave. ES Smlthtown Tackan ES Patchogue-Medford Sayville Smithtown Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills Smithtown Sayville Patchogue-Medford Half Hollow Hills Patchogue-Medford Hauppauge Smithtown Lindenhurst Copiague Lindenhurst Patchogue-Medford Smithtown Hauppauge Half Hollow Hills Patchogue-Medford Copiague William Floyd Brentwood William Floyd William Floyd William Floyd New Suffolk Fire Island Quogue Amagansett Oysterponds Remsenburg-Speonk Greenport Connetquot East Quogue Connetquot Connetquot East Islip Connstquot Southold Signal Hill ES K - 5 544 J.F. Kennedy School K - 5 549 Albany Ave. School K - 5 549 Gmat Neck Rd. ES K - 5 551 Manetuck ES K - 5 555 K - 5 561 K - 5 570 K - 5 577 Medford ES K - 5 597 Lincoln Ave. ES K - 5 604 Dogwood ES K - 5 605 Forest Park ES K - 5 605 Sunquam ES K - 5 611 Smithtown ES K - 5 623 Sunrise Drive ES K - 5 629 Tremont ES K - 5 637 Vanderbilt ES K - 5 646 Canaan ES K - 5 654 Pines ES K - 5 664 Accompsett ES K - 5 706 William Rail School K - 5 715 S.E. Wiley School K - 5 730 Daniel St. School K - 5 730 Barton ES K - 5 730 St, James ES K - 5 735 Bretton Woods ES K - 5 748 Chestnut Hill ES K - 5 758 EagLe ES K - 5 852 Deauville Gardens ES K - 5 924 William Floyd ES K - 5 1,105 Southwest ES K - 5 1,119 Tangier Smith ES K - 5 1,177 Moriches ES K - 5 1,204 John S. Hobart ES K - 5 1,287 New Suffolk School K - 6 tl Woodhull School K - 6 53 Quogue ES K - 6 99 Amagansett School K - 6 112 Oysterponds ES K - 6 116 Rmsnbrg-Speonk ES K - 6 169 Gmenport ES K - 6 328 John Pearl ES K - 6 397 E, Quogue School K - 6 446 Idle Hour ES K - 6 456 Helen B. DuffieLd ES K - 6 484 Connetquot ES K - 6 493 Edith L. Slocum ES K - 6 517 Southold ES K - 6 528 I 1 Connetquot Sycamore Ave. ES K - 6 533 SUFFOLK ........... ====_-= ========= ====== ============ ~e~'~;d-by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Plann,ng Resea~rch A-13 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data I==== ...... GRADES ENROLLMENT couNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL Sachem Lynwood Ave. School K - 6 612 I SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK I SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK iSUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK iSUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK i SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK I SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK ISUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK iSUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK iSUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK Connetquot Sachem East Islip Sachem Sachem Sachem Sachem Sachem Sachem Center Moriches Sachem Sachem Sachem Sachem Three Village Three Village Three Village Mattituck-Cutchogue Three Village Connetquot Three Village Eastport Hampton Bays Tuckahoe Montauk * Springs East Moriches Fishers Island Bridgehampton Shelter Island Amityville Wainscott Middle Country Middle Country Middle Country Middle Country Edward J. Bosti ES Gatelot Ave. School J,F. Kennedy ES Wenonah School Grundy Ave. School Hiawatha School Merrimac School Tecumseh ES Chippewa ES Clayton Huey ES Cayuga School Nokomis School Wavefly Ave. School Tamarac ES Arrowhead ES Wm. Sidney Mt. School Nassakeag ES Matfituck-Cutchogue ES Minnesauke ES Cherokee St. ES Setauket ES Eastport School Hampton Bays ES Tuckahoe School Montauk School Springs School East Modches School Fishers Island School Bridgehampton School Shelter Island School Northwest ES Wainscott School Hawkins Path School E. Auer Mem. School No. Coleman Rd. School Holbrook Rd. School Shoreham-Wading Rvr Wading River School Middle Country Middle Country Middle Country Brentwood Brentwood Brentwood Brentwood Brentwood Brentwood Stagecoach School Oxhead Rd. School Jericho ES Hemlock ES Laurel Park ES Southeast ES Loretta Park ES Oak Park ES Twin Pines ES - 6 615 ~ - 6 647 ( - 6 657 < - 6 659 ( - 6 660 < - 6 677 ( - 6 684 < - 6 684 ; - 6 687 K - 6 702 K - 6 722 K - 6 750 K - 6 763 K - 6 787 K - 6 835 K - 6 853 K - 6 853 K - 6 859 K - 6 862 K - 6 922 K - 6 926 K - 6 944 K - 6 955 K - 8 292 K - 8 425 K - 8 576 K - 8 700 K - 12 62 K - 12 148 K- 12 285 1 - 2 5'19 1 -3 12 1 - 5 393 1 - 5 415 1 - 5 417 1 - 5 435 1 - 5 439 1 - 5 479 1 - 5 496 1 - 5 506 1 - 5 6'15 1 - 5 629 1 - 5 642 1 - 5 670 1 - 5 755 1 - 5 853 SUFFOLK Brentwood North ES 1 - 5 853 1 - 5 1,014 I, SUFFOLK Brentwood Northeast ES SUFFOLK Middle Country New Lane Mere, ES 1 - 5 1,093 II prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research ^-14 NA~SAU~UFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 200'1 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT SUFFOLK South Country Brookhaven Annex 1- 6 22 SUFFOLK Central lelip Cordello Ave. ES 1 - 6 473 SUFFOLK Central Islip M.L. Mulvey School 1 - 6 562 SUFFOLK Central Isllp Francis J. O'Neill Schl 1 - 6 575 SUFFOLK East Isllp Ruth C. Kinney ES 1 - 6 652 SUFFOLK Central Islip Andrew T. Morrow Schl 1 - 6 733 SUFFOLK East lelip Timber Point ES 1 - 6 734 SUFFOLK Central Isllp Chades A. Mulligan Schl '1 - 6 807 SUFFOLK Sagaponack Sagaponack School 2 - 4 15 SUFFOLK Harbor~ields Thomas J. Lahey ES 2 - 4 835 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading Rvr Miller Ave. School 2 -5 493 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor West Side School 2 - 6 297 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor Lloyd Harbor School 2 - 6 545 SUFFOLK Babylon Babylon Mem. GS 2 - 6 786 SUFFOLK Islip Maud S. Sherwood ES 3 - 5 376 SUFFOLK Islip Commack Rd. ES 3 - 5 495 SUFFOLK Elwood James H. Boyd ES 3 - 5 599 . SUFFOLK Bay Shore South Country School 3 - 5 622 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Gardiner Manor School 3 - 5 681 SUFFOLK South Huntington Birchwood IS 3 - 5 718 SUFFOLK South Huntington Maplewood IS 3 - 5 741 SUFFOLK East Hampton East Hampton MS 5 - 8 501 SUFFOLK Miller Place Sound Beach School 3 - 5 699 SUFFOLK Commack Sawmill IS 3 - 5 766 SUFFOLK Amityville Park Ave. School 3 - 5 811 SUFFOLK Commack Burr IS 3 - 5 962 SUFFOLK Deer Park J.F. Kennedy IS 3 - 5 %017 SUFFOLK Kings Park R JO IS 4 - 5 628 SUFFOLK Riverhead Pulaski St. ES 4 - 5 757 SUFFOLK South Country Frank P. Long IS 4 - 5 761 SUFFOLK South Manor Dayton Ave. School 4 - 6 418 SUFFOLK Huntington Woodhull IS 4 - 6 472 SUFFOLK Huntington Huntington IS 4 - 6 505 SUFFOLK Rocky Point Joseph A. Edgar ES 4 - 6 911 SUFFOLK Longwood Longwood MS 5 - 6 t,611 SUFFOLK Southampton Southampton IS 5 - 8 506 SUFFOLK Wyandanch Milton L. Olive MS 5 - 8 707 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai Mount Sinai MS 5 - 8 801 SUFFOLK Harborfields Oldfield MS 5 - 8 1,112 SUFFOLK William Floyd Nathaniel Woodhull 6 861 SUFFOLK Port Jefferson Port Jeffemon MS 6 - 8 267 SUFFOLK Westhampton Beach Westhampton Bch MS 6 - 8 413 SUFFOLK Elwood Elwood MS 6 - 8 570 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point James W. Young MS 6 - 8 581 SUFFOLK Shorsham-Wading Rvr Shoreham-Wdg Rvr. MS 6 - 8 604 SUFFOLK West Isllp Beach St. MS 6 - 8 618 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport E. Northport MS 6 - 8 670 SUFFOLK Smithtown Groat Hollow MS 6 - 8 718 SUFFOLK Miller Place No. Country Rd. School 6 - 8 737 SUFFOLK Amityville E.W. Miles MS 6 - 8 777 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-15 ~UFFOLK ~UFFOLK ~UFFOLK mmmm~ UFFOLK UFFOLK UFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK I~UFFOLK UFFOLK SU=FOLK mmmm~ uFFOLK UFFOLK UFFOLK IFFOLK IFFOLK ;UFFOLK SUFFOLK JFFOLK JFFOLK SUFFOLK .~UFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK UFFOLK UFFOLK SUFFOLK UFFOLK UFFOLK mUFFOLK UFFOLK UFFOLK SUFFOLK ~mmSUFFOLK I~I)~SUFFOLK SUFFOLK mmm~UFFOLK UFFOLK SUFFOLK IiUFFOLK UFFOLK UFFOLK NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 ~ource: New York State Educat on Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT ~;;;;~;= =======: ;=e--~t"~;;7 ========= ;;;;;=d--.;;===--==== ='=== ==--6=.--7== -===== ==---=;;;==== SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Northport MS 6 - 8 824 Comsewogue J.F. Kennedy MS 6 - 8 868 Islip Islip MS 6 - 8 872 Sayvllle Sayville MS 6 - 8 900 Brentwood West MS 6 - 8 900 Brentwood South MS 6 - 8 906 Hauppauge Hauppauge MS 6 - 8 934 Kings Park William T. Rogers MS 6 - 8 951 Half Hollow Hills Candlewood MS 6 - 8 960 Brentwood East MS 6 - 8 973 Brentwood North MS 6 - 8 1,018 Deer Park Robert Frost MS 6 - 8 t,065 Riverhead Riverhead MS 6 - 8 1,101 South Country Bellport MS 6 - 8 1,108 Copiague Copiague MS 6 - 8 t,115 Half Hollow Hills West Hollow MS 6 - 8 1,158 West Babylon West Babylon JHS 6 - 8 1,211 North Babylon Robert Moses MS 6 - 8 1,268 Middle Country Selden MS 6 - 8 1,333 Bay Shore Bay Shore MS 6 - 8 1,380 Middle Country Dawnwood MS 6 - 8 1,380 South Huntington Henry L. Stimson MS 6 - § 1,446 Smithtown Smithtown MS 6 - 8 1,553 Commack Commack MS 6 - 8 1,628 Lindenhurst Lindenhurst MS 6 - 8 1,881 Patchogue-Medford South Ocean MS 6 - 9 785 Patchogue-Medford Oregon MS 6 - 9 968 Patchogue-Medford Saxton MS 6 - 9 1,138 Sag Harbor Pierson HS 6- 12 458 Huntington Finley JHS 7 - 8 649 East Islip Islip Terrace JHS 7 - 8 857 Central Islip Ralph Reed-School 7 - 8 1,005 Sachem Seneca JH S 7 - 8 1,179 Sachem Sagamore JHS 7 - 8 1,325 Longwood Longwood JHS 7 - 8 1,576 William Floyd William Paca JHS 7 - 8 1,594 Connetquot Oakdale-Bohemia JHS 7 - 9 778 Connetquot Ronkonkoma JHS 7 - 9 838 Three Village R.C. Murphy JHS 7 - 9 922 Three Village Paul J. Gelinas JHS 7 - 9 926 Greenport Greenport HS 7 12 324 Southold Southold JSHS 7 12 462 Center Moriches Center Moriches HS 7 12 673 Mattituck-Cutchogue Mattituck JSHS 7 12 688 Hampton Bays Hampton Bays JSHS 7 12 726 Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor HS 7 12 880 i SUFFOLK Babylon Babylon JSHS 7 - 12 914 SUFFOLK Eastport-South Manor Eastport-S. Manor CHS 7 - 12 1,081 SUFFOLK Rocky Point Rocky Point JSHS 7 - 12 1,48t prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-16 NASSAu-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT Deer Park Lincoln School 8 - 12 13 SUFFOLK SUFFOLK Smithtown Freshman Campus 9 657 SUFFOLK Brentwood Freshman Center 9 1,157 SUFFOLK Port Jefferson Port Jefferson HS 9 - 12 338 SUFFOLK Wyandanch Wyandanch Mem. HS 9 - 12 540 SUFFOLK Elwood John Glen HS 9 - 12 608 SUFFOLK Southampton Southampton SHS 9 - 12 620 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Bayport-Blue Point HS 9 - 12 646 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai Mount Sinai HS 9- 12 672 SUFFOLK Amityville Amityville Mem, HS 9 - 12 801 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading Rvr Shoreham-Wdg Rvr. HS 9 - 12 805 SUFFOLK Harborfields Harborfields HS 9 - 12 838 SUFFOLK Miller Place Miller Place HS 9 - 12 884 SUFFOLK Westhampton Beach Westhampton Bch SHS 9- 12 932 SUFFOLK East Hampton East Hampton HS 9 - 12 940 SUFFOLK Islip Islip HS 9- 12 991 SUFFOLK Sayville Sayville HS 9 - 12 1,010 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Comsewogue SHS 9 - 12 1,016 SUFFOLK Kings Park Kings Park HS 9 - 12 · 1,041 SUFFOLK Deer Park Deer Park HS 9 - 12 1,084 SUFFOLK Huntington Huntington HS 9 - 12 1,097 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills HS W. 9 - 12 1,105 SUFFOLK Hauppauge Hauppauge HS 9 - 12 1,114 SUFFOLK Copiague Walter G. O'Connell HS 9- 12 1,220 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills HS E. 9 - 12 1,260 SUFFOLK South Country Bellport SHS 9 - 12 1,328 SUFFOLK West Babylon West Babylon SHS 9 - 12 1,367 SUFFOLK North Babylon North Babylon HS 9- 12 1,387 SUFFOLK Riverhead Riverhead SHS 9 - 12 1,445 SUFFOLK East Islip East Islip HS 9 - 12 1,454 SUFFOLK West Islip West Islip SHS 9 - 12 1,549 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Bay Shore SHS 9 - 12 1,602 SUFFOLK Middle Country Newfield HS 9 - 12 1,603 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Northport SHS 9 - 12 1,633 SUFFOLK Middle Country Centereach HS 9 - 12 1,704 SUFFOLK South Huntington Walt Whitman HS 9 - 12 1,712 SUFFOLK Central Islip Central Islip SHS 9 - 12 1,768 SUFFOLK Commack Commack HS 9 - 12 1,904 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst Lindenhurst SHS 9 - 12 2,110 SUFFOLK William Floyd William Floyd HS 9 - 12 2,769 SUFFOLK Longwood Longwood HS 9 - 12 3,002 SUFFOLK Sachem Sachem HS 9 - 12 4,301 SUFFOLK Connetquot Connetquot HS 10 - 12 1,473 SUFFOLK Three Village Ward Melville SHS 10 - 12 1,636 SUFFOLK Smithtown Smithtown HS 10 - 12 1,861 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford Patchogue-Medford HS 10 - 12 1,929 SUFFOLK Brentwood Brentwood HS 10 - 12 2,896 ===----==== =_-=== ============ Other K-8 ~ A-17 Elementary Grades i~ of Schools Avg. Size School Smallest Largest Nassau 205 496 136 1,293 Suffolk 217 582 11 1,611 Long Island 422 539 Middle Grades Nassau 48 839 297 1,360 Suffolk 55 982 267 1,881 Long Island 103 911 Secondary Grades Nassau 57 1,t20 Suffolk 56 1,277 Long Island 113 1,198 K-12 ungraded I TOTAL 41 2,005 324 4,301 (not including alternaUve program at Lincoln School. Deer Park, but inc Levittown Memorial Special Educatia 647 I I I I I Nassau 311 Suffolk 336 Long Island 647 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data DISTRICT CHANGES NASSAU SCHOOL 00/01 01102 North Bellmore Martin Avenue ES K - 5 · new Plainedge West School I - 5 K - 5 Eastplain School 1 - 5 K - 5 Schwarting School 1 - 5 K - 5 Northedge K Center K Plainview Pasadena ES 1 - 4 *closed Roslyn East Hills School 1 - 5 2 - 5 Roslyn Heights ES K K- 1 West Hempstead Cornwell Avenue School K - 5 1 - 5 George Washington School K - 5 1 - 5 Chestnut Avenue School K * new SUFFOLK SCHOOL 00101 01/02 Longwood CE Walters K - 5 K - 4 Coram ES K - 5 K - 4 Ridge ES K - 5 K - 4 Longwood MS 6 - 7 5 - 6 Longwood JHS 8 - 9 7 - 8 New Suffolk New Suffolk School K - 5 K - 6 Sagaponack Sagaponack School 1 -4 2-4 Shoreham Wading River School K - 5 1 - 5 South Country Brookhaven Annex K-6 1 -6 Wyandanch Martin Luther King ES K - 5 K - 4 = = = %%~ ?e~=~%~ ~ %~%?~ ~ ~-~-s- ~-~, = ~--~o--o~ ~T~'g'~ ~'~ .......................... ii il APPENDIX B NASSAU COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT ======== ======== GRADE Ocl-91 O~-92 O~-93 0ct-94 O~-95 Oct-96 Od-97 Oct-98 O~-99 Oct-00 ======== KINDERGARTEN 12,487 13,298 13,783 14,091 14,599 14,218 14,280 14,274 14,409 14,398 14,420 FIRST 13,252 13,434 14,173 14,844 15.044 15,910 15,383 15,720 15,493 15,798 15,700 SECOND 13.047 13.229 13,490 14,220 14.942 15,307 15,968 15.603 15,874 15.724 15,897 THIRD 12,812 13,097 13,297 13,604 14,403 15,102 15,427 16,234 15,764 16,129 15,957 FOURTH 12,718 12,978 13,144 13,388 13,788 14,415 15,192 15,612 16,488 15,876 16,232 FIFTH 12,736 12,888 13,024 13,249 13,550 13,880 14,627 15,479 18,729 16,736 16,130 SIXTH 12,798 13,017 13,157 13,448 13,537 13,723 13,988 14,946 15,779 16,107 17.037 SEVENTH 13.185 13.262 13,405 13,591 13,725 13,832 14,107 14,812 15,380 16,255 16,488 EIGHTH 12,743 13,122 13,073 13,580 13,547 13,583 13,846 14,258 14,689 15,386 16.179 NINTH 13,452 13,354 13,671 13,653 13,991 14,239 13,986 14,414 14,842 15,159 16.096 TENTH 13,344 13,324 13,277 13,410 13,197 13,710 14,043 14,034 14,173 14,657 14,853 ELEVENTH 12,622 12,837 13.092 12,927 13,241 13,081 13,287 13,668 13,405 13,847 14,292 TWELFTH 12,476 12,259 12,545 12,673 12,307 12,710 12,605 12,759 13,017 12,967 13,231 UNGRADED 4.332 4,483 4.361 4.149 4,433 4.503 4,578 4,149 4,351 4,174 3,407 TOTAL 172,004 174,582 177,492 180,827 184,310 188,213 191.297 195,962 199,393 203,213 205,919 % CHANGE 1.5% 17% 1.9% 1.9% 21% 16% 2.4% 1.8% 19% 13% ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ==~===== % UNGRADED 26% 2.6% 25% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% 21% 1.7% NASSAU COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT ' GRADE Oct-91 O~-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Od-96 Od-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct430 Oct~l K*5 77,052 78,924 80,911 83,396 86.332 88,832 90,877 92,922 93,757 94,661 94,336 % CHANGE 2 4% 2 5% 31% 3 5% 29% 23% 23% 0.9% I 0% 6 - 8 38.726 39,401 39,635 40,619 40,809 41,138 41,941 44,016 45,848 47,748 49,704 %CHANGE 1.7% 06% 25% 05% 08% 20% 49% 42% 41% 4.1% 9 * 12 51,894 51,774 52,585 52,663 52,736 53,740 53,901 54.875 55,437 56,630 58.472 %CHANGE ~.2% 16% 0.1% 01% 1.9% 0.3% 18% 1.0% 22% 3.3% NASSAU COUNTY MIGRATION 91 -92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 A~ERAGE K - 1 107.6% 1066% 107.7% 1068% 109.0% 108.2% 110 1% 108 5% 1096% 1090% 108.7% 1 -2 90.8% 1004% 100.3% 1007% 1017% 1004% 1014% 1010% 101.5% 1006% 101.1% 2- 3 1004% 1005% 1008% 101 3% 101.1% 100 8% 101.7% 1010% 101'6% 1015% 101.4% 3-4 101.3% 100.4% 1007% 1014% 100.1% 1006% 1012% 101.6% 100,7% 1006% t00,9% 4-5 1013% 1004% 100.8% 1013% 100.7% 101.5% 101.9% 1007% 101.5% 101.6% t0t.6% 5 - 6 1022% 102 1% 1033% 102.2% 1012% 100.8% 102.2% 101.9% 1024% 101.8% t02.t% 6-7 1036% 1030% 103.3% 102.1% 102.2% 1028% 1059% 1029% 103.0% 1024% 103.2% 7~8 995% 986% 101.3% 99.7% 99.0% 100.1% 1011% 99.2% 1000% 99.5% t00,0% 8-9 104.8% 1042% 1044% 1030% 105,1% 102.8% 1041% 1041% 103.2% 1046% 104.2% 9 - 10 99.0% 99.4% 98 1% 96.7% 98.0% 986% 100.5% 98.3% 988% 980% 98.8% 10-11 96.2% 983% 97.4% 987% 991% 969% 97.3% 955% 97.7% 975% 97.6% 11 -12 97.1% 97.7% 96.8% 952% 96.0% 96.4% 96.0% 95~2% 967% 956% 86.0% NASSAU COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 5======= ======== actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN 14,420 14,066 14,137 13,931 13,893 13,925 FIRST 15,700 15,682 15,297 15,374 15,149 15,108 SECOND 15,897 15,874 15,855 15,466 15,544 15,317 THIRD 15,957 16,127 16,103 16,085 15,690 15,769 FOURTH 16,232 16,107 16,279 16,255 16,236 15,838 FIFTH 16,130 16,494 16,368 16,542 16,518 16,498 SIXTH 17,037 16,466 16,837 16,708 16,886 16,861 SEVENTH 16,488 17,581 16,991 17,375 17,241 17,425 EIGHTH 16,179 16,485 17,578 16,988 17,372 17,238 NINTH 16,096 16,862 17,181 18,320 17,706 18,106 TENTH 14,853 15,908 16,666 16,981 18,107 17,499 ELEVENTH 14,292 14,495 15,525 16,265 16,572 17,671 TVVELFTH 13,231 13,718 13;913 14,902 15,611 15,907 UNGRADED 3,407 3,202 3,002 2,808 2,612 2,423 TOTAL 205,919 209,068 211,733 213,999 215,138 215,585 % CHANGE 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% NASSAU COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 K - 5 94,336 94,350 94,039 93,652 93,030 92,455 % CHANGE 0.0% -0.3% -0.4% -0.7% -0.6% 6- 8 49,704 50,532 51,406 51,071 51,499 51,525 % CHANGE 1.7% 1.7% -0.7% 0.8% 0.0% 9 - 12 58,472 60,984 63,286 66,468 67,997 69,183 % CHANGE 4.3% 3.8% 5.0% 2.3% 1.7% m SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-91 O~-92 Ocl-93 O~-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct~98 Oct-99 Oct-OO Oct~1 KINDERGARTEN 16,427 16,851 17,549 18,256 18.715 18,429 18,162 18,210 18,494 18,569 18,650 FIRST 17,139 17,114 17,690 18,483 19,343 20,000 19,592 19,621 19,692 20,098 19,958 SECOND 15,886 16,488 16,459 16,9~;4 17,958 18,630 19,449 19,385 19.496 19,523 19.846 THIRD 15,395 15,629 16,289 16,265 16,890 17,814 18,626 19,555 19,454 19,799 19,771 FOURTH 15,509 15,284 15,531 16,225 16,237 16,893 17,855 18,857 19,778 19,833 19,937 FIFTH 15,284 15.493 15,329 15,574 16,168 16,281 16.938 18.023 19.096 20.175 20,151 SIXTH 15,544 15.360 15.763 15,519 15,781 16,406 16.525 17.370 18.547 19.631 20,443 SEVENTH 15,945 15.837 15.712 15,867 15,732 15,981 16.534 16,843 17.841 19.211 19,968 EIGHTH 15,985 15.711 15.709 15,618 15.746 15.760 16.029 16,647 17.013 18.007 18,968 NINTH 18,826 16,574 16,138 16,295 16,275 16,588 16.438 17,009 17.431 17,821 18,699 TENTH 16,384 16,225 16,034 15.680 15.749 15.781 16,130 15,839 16.461 17.078 17,535 ELEVENTH 15,605 15,630 15.418 15,339 15.140 14,971 14.891 15.308 15.290 15,959 16.662 TWELFTH 15,978 15,501 15,232 14,891 14,777 14,507 14,327 14,193 14,487 14,397 15,183 UNGP. ADED 8,121 9,128 9,338 9,429 9,394 9,716 9,932 9,900 9,872 8.755 8,428 TOTAL 215,728 216,825 218,191 220.435 223,905 227,757 231,428 236,760 242,952 248,856 254.199 % CHANGE 0 5% 06% 1 0% 1.6% 1,7% 1.6% 2.3% 2.6% 2 4% 2.1% % UNGRADED 39% 44% 4.5% 45% 44% 45% 4 5% 4.4% 4.2% 3 6% 34% SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Ocl-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Ocl-99 Octq)0 Oct-01 K -5 95,640 96,859 98,847 101,797 105.311 108.047 110,622 113.651 116.010 117,997 118,313 % CHANGE 13% 2 1% 3.0% 3.5% 2.6% 24% 2.7% 21% 1.7% 0.3% 6-8 47,474 46,908 47,184 47,004 47.259 48,147 49.088 50,860 53.401 56.849 59,379 % CHANGE -12% 0.6% ~.4% 05% 1.9% 2 0% 3.6% 50% 6.8% 45% 9-12 64,493 63,930 62,822 62,205 61,941 81,847 61,786 62,349 63,669 65,255 68,079 % CHANGE -09% -1.7% -1 0% ~).4% -0.2% ~)1% 09% 21% 2.5% 4.3% SUFFOLK COUNTY MIGRATION 91 - 92 92 - 93 93 - 94 94 - 95 95 - 96 96 - 97 97 * 98 98 - 99 99 - 00 00 * 01 AVERAGE K - 1 1042% 1050% 1053% 1060% 106~9% 1063% 108.0% 108.1% 108.7% 107.5% 167.t% I -2 96.2% 96.2% 96.1% 97.2% 963% 972% 98.9% 994% 991% 98.7% 98.1% 2 - 3 984% 98 8% 98 8% 99.4% 992% 100.0% 100 5% 100.4% 101.8% 101.3% t00.3% 3 - 4 993% 994% 99.6% 99.8% 100.0% 100.2% 101 2% 1011% 101.9% 100.7% t00.9% 4 - 5 999% 100.3% 1003% 996% 100.3% 100.3% 100.9% 101.3% 102.0% 1016% 101.1% 5-6 1005% 101.7% 1012% 1013% 1015% 101.5% 1026% 1029% 102.8% 101.3% t02.2% 6-7 101.9% 102.3% 100.7% 101.4% 101.3% 100.8% 101.9% 102.7% 103.6% 101.7% 102.t% 7-8 98.5% 99.2% 99.4% 99.2% 1002% 100.3% 1007% 101.0% 100.9% 98,7% 100.3% 8-9 1037% 1027% 103.7% 104.2% 105.3% 104.3% 106.1% 104.7% 104.7% 1038% 104.8% 9 - 10 98.2% 96 7% 972% 966% 970% 97.2% 96.4% 96.8% 98.0% 98.4% 97.7% 10-11 954% 950% 95.7% 96.6% 95.1% 94~4% 94.9% 96.5% 97.0% 97.6% 97,0% 11-12 993% 975% 96.6% 96.3% 95.8% 95.7% 95.3% 94.6% 94.2% 95.1% 95.7% SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 KINDERGARTEN 18,650 18,455 18,510 18,535 18,755 18,579 FIRST 19,958 19,974 19,765 19,824 19,851 20,086 SECOND 19,846 19,585 19,600 19,396 19,453 19,480 THIRD 19,771 19,911 19,649 19,664 19,459 19,517 FOURTH 19,937 19,945 20,086 19,822 19,837 19,630 FIFTH 20,151 20,148 20,156 20,299 20,032 20,047 SIXTH 20,443 20,598 20,595 20,603 20,749 20,476 SEVENTH 19,968 20,881 21,039 21,036 21,044 21,193 EIGHTH 18,968 20,036 20,952 21,111 21,108 21,116 NINTH 18,699 19,887 21,006 21,967 22,133 22,130 TENTH 17,535 18,272 19,433 20,527 21,465 21,628 ELEVENTH 16,662 17,012 17,727 18,853 19,914 20,825 TVVELFTH 15,183 15,942 1~,277 16,961 18,039 19,054 UNGRADED 8,428 7,942 7,459 6,995 6,544 6,091 TOTAL 254,199 258,587 262,255 265,592 268,383 269,852 % CHANGE 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 O~-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 ======== ======== a~ual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== K - 5 118,313 118,018 117,767 117,540 117,387 117,339 % CHANGE -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0~1% 0.0% 6- 8 59,379 61,515 62,586 62,750 62,901 62,785 % CHANGE 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% -0.2% 9 -12 68,079 71,113 74,443 78,307 81,551 83,637 % CHANGE 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 4.1% 2.6% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct~95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct~01 KINDERGARTEN 28,914 30,149 31,332 32,347 33,314 32,647 32,442 32,484 32,903 32,967 33,070 FIRST 30,391 30,548 31,863 33,327 34,387 35,910 34,975 35,341 35,185 35,896 35,658 SECOND 28,933 29,717 29,949 31,214 32,900 33,937 35,417 34,988 35,370 35,247 35,743 THIRD 28,207 28,726 29,586 29,869 31,293 32,916 34,053 35,789 35,218 35,928 35,728 FOURTH 28,227 28,262 28,675 29,613 ' 30,025 31,308 33,047 34,469 36,266 35,709 36,169 FIFTH 28,020 28,381 28,353 28,823 29,724 30,161 31,565 33,502 34,825 36,911 36,281 SIXTH 28,342 28,377 28,920 28,967 29,318 30,129 30,513 32,316 34,326 35,738 37,480 SEVENTH 29,130 29,099 29,117 29,458 29,457 29,813 30,641 31,655 33,221 35,466 36,456 EIGHTH 28.728 28,833 28,782 29,198 29,293 29,343 29,875 30,905 31,702 33,393 35,147 NINTH 29,978 29,928 29,809 29,948 30,266 30,827 30,404 31,423 32,273 32,980 34,795 TENTH 29,728 29,549 29,311 29,090 28,946 29,491 30,173 29,873 30,634 31,735 32,388 ELEVENTH 28,227 28,467 28,510 28,266 28,381 28,052 28,178 28,976 28,695 29,806 30,954 TWELFTH 28,454 27,760 27,777 27,564 27,084 27,217 26,932 26,952 27,504 27,364 28,414 UNGRADED 12,453 13,611 13,699 13,578 13,827 14,219 14,510 14,049 14,223 12,929 11,835 TOTAL 387,732 391,407 395,683 401,262 408,215 415,970 422,725 432,722 442,345 452,069 460,118 % CHANGE 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% % UNGRADED 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct~96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-O0 Oct.01 K - 5 172,692 175,783 179,758 185,193 191,643 196,879 201,499 206,573 209,767 212,658 212,649 % CHANGE 1.8% 2~3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 2.3% 2.5% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 6 - 8 86,200 86,309 86,819 87,823 88,068 89,285 91,029 94,876 99,249 104,597 109,083 % CHANGE 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.4% 4.3% 9- 12 116,387 115,704 115,407 114,868 114,677 115,587 115,687 117,224 119,106 121,885 126,551 % CHANGE -0.6% -0.3% -0.5% -0.2% 0.8% 0.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.8% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 ................ actual Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 KINDERGARTEN 33,070 32,522 32,647 32,466 32,647 32,504 FIRST 35,658 35,655 35,062 35,198 35,000 35,194 SECOND 35,743 35,459 35,455 34,862 34,997 34,797 THIRD 35,728 36,038 35,752 35,749 35,149 35,286 FOURTH 36,169 36,052 36,365 36,077 36,073 35,468 FIFTH 36,281 36,643 36,524 36,841 36,549 36,546 SIXTH 37,480 37,063 37,432 37,311 37,635 37,337 SEVENTH 36,456 38,462 38,030 38,411 38,286 38,618 EIGHTH 35,147 36,521 38,530 38,099 38,480 38,354 NINTH 34,795 36,749 38,188 40,287 39,839 40,236 TENTH 32,388 34,180 36,099 37,508 39,572 39,127 ELEVENTH 30,954 31,507 33,252 35,118 36,487 38,498 TWELFTH 28,414 29,660 30,190 31,863 33,650 34,961 UNGRADED 11,835 11,144 10,461 9,803 9,157 8,514 TOTAL 460,118 467,655 473,988 479,592 483,521 485,437 % CHANGE 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 K - 5 212,649 212,368 211,806 211,192 210,417 209,794 % CHANGE -0.~% -0.3% -0.3% -0.4% -0.3% 6 - 8 109,083 112,046 113,992 113,821 114,400 114,310 % CHANGE 2.7% 1.7% -0.2% 0.5% -0A% 9 -12 126,551 132,097 137,729 144,776 149,548 152,820 %'CHANGE 4.4% 4.3% 5.1% 3.3% 2.2% NASSAU/SUFFOLK KINDERGARTEN PROJECTIONS ======== = ........ = ................ ====== Nassau Suffolk Year Nassau Suffolk Year K ratios K ratios 1986 15,567 17,881 1991 12,487 0.8021 16,427 0.9187 1987 16,504 18,735 1992 13,298 0.8057 16,851 0.8994 1988 17,072 19,904 1993 13,783 0.8073 17,549 0.8817 1989 17,700 20,993 1994 14,091 0.7961 18,256 0.8696 1990 18,180 21,252 1995 14,599 0.8030 18,715 0.8806 1991 17,864 21,201 1996 14,218 0.7959 18,429 0.8693 1992 18,065 20,622 1997 14,280 0.7905 18,162 0.8807 1993 17,931 20,563 1998 14,274 Gmwth 0.7961 18,210 Growth 0.8856 1994 17,903 20,502 1999 14,409 2000- 01 0.8048 18,494 2000- 01 0.9021 1995 18,084 101.0% 20,302 99.0% 2000 14,398 1.021986 0.7962 18,569 1.02193 0.9146 1996 17,722 98.0% 19,953 98.3% 2001 14,420 0.8137 18,650 0.9347 1997 17,100 96.5% 19,862 99.5% 2002 14,066 WtdAvg 0.8226 18,455 WtdAvg 0.9292 1998 17,186 100.5% 19,921 100.3% 2003 14,137 18,510 1999 16,935 98.5% 19,948 100.1% 2004 13,931 I~535 2000 16,889 99.7% 20,184 101.2% 2005 13,893 1~755 est. 2001 16,928 19,995 2006 13,925 18,579 99.6% 99.9% I I I I I I I ! ! Il Western Suffolk Division of Instructional Support Services Office of School Planning & Research 220 Washington Avenue Deer Park, NY 11729 631/242-1 ~28 Western Suffolk Dr. David E. Gee District Superintendent January, 2003 Ms. Melissa Spiro Southold Town Planning Board PO Box 1179 Southold, New York 11971 Dear Ms. Spiro: DIVISION OF INSTRUCTIONAL SUPPORT SERVICES Dr Patricia A Connors, Executive Director Paula Klingelhoefer, Assistant Director 220 Washington Avenue ,~ · Deer Park, NY 11729 JAN 15 2003 Southold Town Pianain ! Board The enclosed complementary copy of the Annual Regional Nassau-Suffolk Public School Demographic Study is provided to you by the Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning & Research. This Office has prepared comprehensive long range planning studies for school Districts throughout Long Island and the lower and mid-Hudson regions. This study is intended to be a resource that outlines regional demographic trends and provides area enrollment projections for the next five years. Current regional events, including the ongoing effects of the September 11th attack, stock market fluctuations, and resultant economic uncertainties, have created societal and economic conditions that differ from those in recent years. The ramifications of these situations - as might be reflected in housing turnover, housing starts, and birth trends - have yet to result in any discernable patterns. Housing turnover has declined somewhat in the area, although median housing prices continue to rise. While new construction continues, the number of permits issued for new residential homes has declined as well. These trends will need to be monitored to determine their influence on future enrollments. Western Suffolk BOCES is available to provide assistance in long range planning, by offering expert objective assistance in preparing District enrollment projections. In addition, the evaluation of facility capacities and investigation of organizational options that may be feasible for the efficient and equitable operation of District facilities, can be explored. Please don't hesitate to call if you would like to discuss how we may be of assistance to you. Sincerely, Bonnie Cap School Planning Coordinator Board of Cooperative Educational Services Second Supervisory District of Suffolk County www.wsboces.org Western Suffolk BOCES Board of Cooperative Educational Services of Western Suffolk County, New York Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study January2003 Western Suffolk BOCES Board Ms. Ilene Herz, Esq., President Ms. Maryann Zumpeno, Vice President Ms. Mildred Browne Mr. Sydney Finkelsteln Mr. Salvatore Merinello Ms. Jeannette Santos Mr. Peter Wunsch Karen Aiello, Clerk (and Executive Secretary) Administration Dr. David E. Gee .............................................................................. District Superintendent Helen Boggs Smith .......................................................................... Deputy Superintendent Joseph D. Myers .................................... Executive Director/Career & Technical Education Dr. Patricia A. Connors ........................ Executive Director/Instructional Support Services Paula Klingelhoefer ............................. Assistant Director/Instructional Support Services Dr. Vito Loiacono ..................................................... Executive Director/Special Education Warren Taylor ........................................................... Executive Director/Business Services Timothy P. Regan ................................................................................ Director of Personnel Susan E. smith .............................................................................. Administrative Assistant Office of School Planning & Research Washington Learning Center 220 Washington Avenue Deer Park~ New York, 11729 Tel.' 631/242-t 128 Fax: 631/242-4269 ANNUAL REGIONAL NASSAU - SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL DEMOGRAPHIC STUDY JANUARY 2003 © copyright Western Suffolk BOCES 2003 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 80URCES .................................................................................................................... 1 METHODOLOGY .......................................................................................................... 2 NASSAU - SUFFOLK DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS A. Population ....................................................................................................................... 3 B. Birth Data ....................................................................................................................... 5 C. Houelng ........................................................................................................................... 6 D. Nonpublic School Enrollment ......................................................................................... 8 NASSAU - SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT A. Overview ......................................................................................................................... 9 B. Enrollment 1. K - t2 Enrollment .............................................................................................. t0 2. Elementary Enrollment ..................................................................................... 13 3. Middle Enrollment ............................................................................................. t3 4, Secondary Enrollment .................................................... ~ .................................. t4 APPENDIX A - Regional School & District Data APPENDIX B - Regional Enrollment Worksheets 2. 3. 4. Accuracy of Projections Prepared by Westam Suffolk BOCES ...................................... 2 Regional Population 1990 - 200t .................................................................................... 4 Age Distribution of the Regional Population 1990 - 2000 .............................................. 4 Regional Enrollment 1991 - 2006 .................................................................................. 11 2, 3. 4. 5. 6. Comparison of BI-County Births to Kindergarten 5 Years Later .................................... 6 Regional K - t 2 Enrollment 199t - 2006 ....................................................................... t 0 Regional Grade Enrollment Comparison t 996 - 2006 ................................................... t 2 Regional K - 5 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 ......................................................................... 13 Regional 6 - 8 Enrollment 199t - 2006 .......................................................................... 13 Regional 9 - 12 Enrollment t901 - 2006 ....................................................................... t4 'INTRODUCTION This Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study presents Western Suffolk BOCES estimates of public school enrollment for 2002-03 through 2006-07. The Office of School Planning & Research of the Division of Instructional Support Services at Western Suffolk BOCES has conducted comprehensive long range planning studies for school districts throughout New York State for more than twenty-five years. The Comprehensive Long Range Planning Service provides school districts with analysis of demographic and enrollment trends, projection of future enrollment, educational space assessment, and assistance in developing alternatives to address housing future student enrollment. These analyses serve to provide objective data that the district Boards of Education and administration can use in future planning. SOURCES The following agencies provided data and information: Diocese of Rockville Centre Educational Research Service, Arlington, Virginia Keyspan/Long island Power Authority Long Island Regional Planning Board MESA (Model Education Service Association), Washington D.C. School District Data Book Nassau County Planning Commission New York State Department of Commerce New York State Department of Education: Educational Facilities Planning Bureau of Educational Data Systems Office for Planning, Research & Program Accountability New York State Department of Health New York State Office of Real Property Services Newsday Port Authority of New York & New Jersey U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census U.S. Department of Education This study was researched and prepared by Lisa Conte, Educational Research Analyst, with editorial assistance provided by Janice Schwartz, Educational Research Clerk. Annual Regional Nassau -Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ......... page Enrollment projections are based on the application of the Cohort Survival Model. This model uses birth data to project kindergarten enrollment and average movement trends of students through the public school system. The accuracy of enrollment projections increases with a thorough understanding of the forces that drive enrollment. Enrollment trends are directly affected by local demographic trends. Shifts in enrollment trends are related to changes in the level of births, population, population characteristics, housing, and attendance in the nonpublic schools. It is noted that the enrollment projections produced by Western Suffolk BOCES generally hold within a 4 percent margin of error for a ten year projection pedod. The greatest discrepancies in projections occur in the smallest subsets of those projections. For example, the projections for the bi-county region as a whole are likely to be the most accurate, while the projection of a particular grade level in a particular school in a specific year is likely to be the least accurate. Enrollment projections tend to be most accurate for the period closest in time from the point of projection. The regional enrollment projections that have been historically prepared have been within 1 percent of the actual enrollment. Table 1 presents the accuracy of the enrollment projections made by Western Suffolk BOCES for 2001/02. TABLE 1 - ACCURACY OF 2001 PROJECTIONS PREPARED BY WESTERN SUFFOLK BOCES Projected Actual Accuracy Nassau 206,944 205,919 100.5% Suffolk 253,786 254,199 99.8% Bi-CountY Region 460,730 460,118 100.1% The Cohort Survival Model estimated the regional enrollment patterns for the years 2002 - 2006 using two basic inputs, including: 1. Grade to grade retention (migration) ratios for each two-grade transition to grades 1 - 12 during the past five - seven years. Ratios for each county were calculated in order to project enrollment in each respective county. The combined projections for both counties presented the regional enrollment. Projected entering kindergarten based on the number of live births in Nassau and Suffolk Counties five years before each projection year. Nassau County births were used to project Nassau County enrollment. Suffolk County births were used to project Suffolk County enrollment. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ......... page 2 NASSAU - SUFFOLK DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS Long Island is the largest island adjoining the continental United States, extending approximately 118 miles east-northeast from the mouth of the Hudson River. Twenty miles at its widest point, the island is separated from the mainland on the north by the Long Island Sound and bounded by the Atlantic Ocean on the south and east. Long Island is composed of Iow plateaus on the north, longitudinal ddges of glacial moraine through the central parts of the island, and gently sloping plains to the south. Peconic and Gardiners Bays separate the eastern end of the island into two peninsular forks. The northern fork is approximately 28 miles long, while the southern, terminating at Montauk Point, is about 44 miles long. Nestled in the bays between the two forks are Shelter Island, Robins Island, and Gardiners Island. Geographically, Long Island includes the four counties of Kings (Brooklyn), Queens, Nassau, and Suffolk. However, Brooklyn and Queens technically fall within the New York City jurisdiction, and therefore, the Long Island reference is commonly known as Nassau and Suffolk Counties, exclusively. Suffolk County is the largest, covering 911 square miles, followed by Nassau County with 287 square miles. Nassau County consists of three towns, sixty-four incorporated villages, and two cities, while Suffolk County consists of ten towns, and thirty-one villages. The objective of this section of the study was to present demographic factors that can impact school districts in the bi-county, Nassau/Suffolk, region of Long Island. The demographic factors considered were population, resident characteristics, birthrate, housing, and nonpublic school attendance. A. POPULATION The number of beople residing in an area can be changed in three ways: by births, by deaths, and by net migration; that is, the difference between the number of people who move into an area and the number who move out during a specific period of time. Despite the high cost of living, Long Island's comparative advantage has always been its extraordinary natural resources, says Pearl Kamer, former chief economist of the Long Island Regional Planning Board. Nassau and Suffolk Counties each have their share of attractions that enhance the region's leisure and economic lure. The Long Island Sound, the harbors of the North Shore, the beaches and bays on the south, the parks and vineyards, and historic villages, attract much tourism. The influx of residents on the east end of the Island, widely known as "The Hamptons", has a dramatic effect on the population during the summer months. The population data provided in this report, though, are for year-round residents only, and do not reflect seasonal variations which would affect, in particular, eastern towns located on the Island's forks. In recent years, however, with the increasing popularity of personal computers and internet access, many "wall streeters" and corporate executives are opting to work at home and maintain permanent residency at their seasonal/vacation homes. This trend has been gradually increasing population on the eastern end of Long Island. Not only is the Island seen as a place to live, but also to work and play. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 3 A review of LIPA Population Figures (Table 2) indicates that both Nassau and Suffolk Counties saw growth between 1990 and 2000. Nassau County has gained approximately 47,196 persons over the past ten years, with gains of 1 - 4 percent noted in Nassau's major municipalities. Suffolk County has gained roughly 96,834 new residents since 1990, with estimated gains of 2 - 22 percent in each of its Towns, with the exception of Shelter Island. While the Town of East Hampton is reported to have shown the most growth over the past decade, the Town of Brookhaven actually gained the greatest number of people between 1990 and 2000. According to LIPA's 2002 Population Survey, both Counties showed growth beyond their estimated populations for 2001. Nassau County showed growth of 3,953 persons above that estimated for January 1, 2001, while Suffolk County is estimated to have increased by 12,924 over that reported as a 2001 LIPA estimate. Nassau and Suffolk Counties together gained approximately 144,030 people between 1990 and 2000, reaching a total population of more than 2.7 million persons. TABLE 2 - REGIONAL POPULATION 1990 - 2001 LOCATION LIPA 1990 LIPA 2000 I LIPA 2001 I estimates NASSAU (C) 1,287,348 1,334,544 1,340,289 SUFFOLK (C) 1,322,535 1,419,369 1,440,870 NIS REGION 2,609,883 2,753,913 2,781,159 Source: LIPA The age distribution of the population in both Counties showed overall stability between 1990 and 2000, as shown in Table 3. The preschool-age segment (0 - 4 years) rose slightly in Nassau County, which began to increase the kindergarten population and, subsequently, the school-age population (5 - 19 years). The pre- school population remained stable in Suffolk County, while the school-age segment continued to grow over the last ten years. These gains have contributed to the regional enrollment gains that have added a 20 percent student gain in Nassau County (1990 - 2000) and an 18 percent gain in Suffolk County (1990 - 2000). The 20 - 54 year age group stayed consistent in Nassau County, as the 55+ age group segment declined slightly. Suffolk County has seen a decrease in the number of people aged 20 - 54, and an increase in the number of people over 55. The increase in the adult population refle(~ts the aging of the baby boom population; those of whom are entering into the 55+ age group. It is this generation that produced the record numbers of school-age children responsible for the enrollment surge in the 1990's. TABLE 3 - AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE REGIONAL POPULATION 1990 - 2000 LOCATION Under 5 5 - 19 20 - 54 55+ Years NASSAU 1990 6.1% 19.8% 48.5% 25.6% 2000 6.5% 20.4% 48.6% 24.5% SUFFOLK 1990 7.0% 20.7% 52.5% 19.8 % 2000 7.1% 21.3% 50.5% 21.1% Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of the Census Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 4 ! I I I I I I I i I I I According to the U.S. Census Bureau, nearly 1 in 3 Americans is a member of a minority group. However, the White population is still the largest racial group, even as the country moves toward greater diversity. Nassau and Suffolk Counties have seen shifts in its minodty population over the last several years. Although an exact comparison of the total resident population in 1990 and 2000 is difficult due to changes in the way ethnicity may have been reported in the most recent Census, the data suggest that the non-Hispanic, White population has declined over the past ten years, while other races have seen increases, mirroring national trends. Based on Census and government projections, the White population is expected to continue to decline, as seen over the last 20 years. Hispanics and Asians together will make up almost a third of the Islandwide population, and Hispanics are expected to become the largest minority group by 2020. The Asian population is also expected to surpass Blacks in number, as the Island's Black population remains relatively stable. As cultural and racial minorities grow, diversity will become the norm in many Long Island communities (Newsday, 8/2002). The increasing immigration of women into the area from other countries impacts birth trends, and has the potential to perpetuate' birthrates and change average family size. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, immigrants who came to this country in the 1980's and 1990's have had higher birthrates than those of non- immigrants. These ethnic groups, who tend to be younger than native-bom residents, arrive with children or start families here, driving the number of births and subsequent school enrollments. The Census Bureau states that there has been a boom in the nation's student population, with enrollment reaching record numbers seen in the early 70's. The original baby boomers have become parents and their children have been joined by children from immigrant families, sustaining heightened school enrollments. B. BIRTH DATA' In the baby boom of 1946 through 1966 more children were born than at any other time in our history. Births after that time began to decline and hit an all time Iow in !973, which was termed the "baby bust" year. Following this, births again began to rise, as more women had children and immigration rose. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau indicate that population growth slowed in the 1980's, but has climbed back to higher levels in recent years. While some analysts have pointed to a "baby-boom echo", with the children of the original baby-boom generation as a principal factor in the population swell, demographers cite immigration as the leading factor. Overall, the bi-county region has experienced a resurgence in the birthrate since 1980. New York State Department of Health records show that the 1990 birthrate was larger than that of 1980. The birthrate for Nassau County was 10.26 births per thousand in 1980 and rose to 14.12 births per thousand in 1990. The birthrate rose in Suffolk County from 12.85 in 1980 to 16.08 in 1990. The historical rise in live births through 1990 carried tremendous implications for public school enrollment, as was evident in the number of children enrolled in kindergarten five years later. The latest data released by the New York State Department of Health demonstrate stabilization in the number of live births since 1990 for both Nassau and Suffolk Counties. The birthrate for Nassau County was 12.65 per thousand, while the birthrate for Suffolk County was 14.22 births per thousand, in 2000. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 5 A return to peak birth rates, such as the 25.6 births per thousand population of Nassau County in 1952 and 25.7 births per thousand population of Suffolk in 1960, is not anticipated, however, due to womens employment opportunities, access to birth control, smaller family sizes, greater number of childless families, an aging population in general, and the economic times. The events of and following September 11, 2001 have created an uncertain future. As people reassess their future, family needs, and values, it will be important to view the impact this recent occurrence will have on regional birth trends over the next decade. According to the New York State Department of Education, the number of births is expected to remain fairly stable over the next ten years. Long Range projections by the Census Bureau indicate a rising number of births thereafter, establishing what is termed the "Millenni-Boom." The growth rate of school enrollment is directly attributable to the birthrates in the region. 50000, 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 ................ year of kindergarten -- -- Bi-County Births 5 yrs Prior to K ] Bi-County Kindergarten J F~gure 1 - Compar son of Bi - County Births to Kindergarten grade 5 Years Later If national projections are indicative of regional demographics, then it is estimated that the number of school-aged children will remain relatively stable over the next ten years, followed by a pattern of steady increases in the number of students. It is of note, however, that these projections assume that current trends will continue in birth rates, immigration, and migration patterns among the residents of the bi-county region. C. HOUSING I I I ! ! I i i The number of school-age children living within a community is a primary factor in determining school enrollments. Housing factors influencing the number of students in the area include potential for new development, turnover of existing housing, and proportion of rented housing. The amount of available land in an area naturally affects the amount of potential housing. Population density (persons or pupils per square mile) presents a general index of available land and population composition. The population density decreases with easterly distance from New York City. Nassau County uses land at a relatively high density and with a high student yield. This suggests limited potential for further development in this area. New housing in Nassau County generally consists of spot building and estate subdivision. Between 600 - 800 single family residential permits have been issued each year since 1995 in Nassau County. The relatively iow density at which Suffolk County utilizes land, and the corresponding Iow student yield, suggests that greater development in Suffolk County than Nassau County is feasible. Approximately 3,000 - 4,500 residential permits were issued in Suffolk County for single family home construction between 1995 and 2000. The Pine Barrens Land Use Plan will impact future housing development in the Towns of Brookhaven, Southampton, and Riverhead. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 6 I 1 I I I I i I I i I I I I I I I I i ! I I I I I I I In addition, building moratoriums instituted in several villages and townships, along with land acquisition by the County and conservation groups, will affect housing development. According to the 2000 permit information provided by the Census Bureau, the bi- county region has seen a continued decrease in the number of permits issued for new residential construction. In 2000, a total of 4,663 permits were issued in Nassau and Suffolk Counties for single family housing, while in 2001, 4,176 permits were issued. The number of permits issued for single family construction was down approximately 10 percent over the previous year year. Year-to-date estimates indicate a continued decline in the number of permits issued for single family homes in both Counties in 2002. Census data also indicate an overall decline in the number of permits issued for multi-family units since 2000. While Nassau County saw a decrease in the number of multi-family dwellings through 2001, Suffolk County saw an increase between 2000 and 2001; mostly accounted for by the number of assisted living facilities that have become so popular. Current estimates for both Counties indicate a continued decline in the number of multi-family permits issued through 2002. There are a greater number of existing homes than new homes. Therefore, it is vital to view resale activity as a key to potential changes in area resident characteristics. According to LIPA estimates there are approximately 448,908 existing households in Nassau County, and an estimated 475,866 in Suffolk County in 2001. An annual turnover of 3 - 5 percent translates to approximately 18,000 homes in Nassau and 19,000 in Suffolk County that will see new residents each year. The regional trend has been for home buyers to be younger and have more school-age children than home sellers. An analysis of deed transactions reported by the New York State Office of Real Property Services indicated a growing number of home sales between 1995 and 1999, with increases of 3 - 14 percent noted each year. This growth has been reflected in public school gains in movement between grades due to a higher in-migration of students to the region. In 2000 and 2001, however, there was a decrease in the number of homes sold in both Counties. Nassau County showed a 13 percent loss between 1999 and 2001, while Suffolk County showed a 15 percent loss over the past 3 years. Preliminary figures for 2002 indicate a continued decline in the number of home sales, as well. Despite the decline in home sales, the median selling price of homes has risen faster on Long Island than in any other major metropolitan area, according to a real estate group cited by Newsday. Recent events have lead to a mild recession, although Long Island has continued to generate jobs throughout the economic slowdown. Low mortgage rates, a limited supply of land for new homes, and a growing sense that homes are a better investment than the volatile stock market, have also fueled the recent demand for housing in the area. The owner of a house or a renter of a property can inhabit occupied housing. It is generally believed that rental units attract a more transient population, with fewer school-aged children than owner occupied housing. However, affordability and availability of multi-bedroom units, as well as changes in family structure (i.e., single parent households) have attracted a number of families with children interested in settling in certain communities. While transience within rental units may not be as common as it was in past years, it may contribute to fluctuating movement in school grade to grade transitions. The amount of occupied housing that is rented in the bi- county region has remained relatively stable between 1990 and 2000, at approximately 20 percent. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page 7 The number of households in the bi-county area increased by approximately 7 percent between 1990 and 2000, and then by another 1 percent over the past year. The number of housing units increased by 44,242 homes, or 10 percent, in Suffolk County between 1990 and 2000. The number of housing units increased by 15,533, or approximately 4 percent, in Nassau County during this time. Growth continued between 2000 and 2001, although at a slower rate. Suffolk County increased by 6,925 homes, or 1.5 percent, while Nassau County grew by 1,860 households, or less than 1 percent, during this time. Suffolk County leads Nassau County in the number of year-round households by almost 27,000 homes. This difference increases even more during the summer when Suffolk experiences a large influx of tourists with seasonal homes on the east end. While the number of households may have increased, the average household size in the Nassau/Suffolk area has remained relatively stable between 1990 and 2000. Nassau County household size held steady from 2.94 in 1990, to an estimated 2.98 in 2000. The nation's median age is higher than ever, rising from 32.9 in 1990 to 35.3 in 2000. The increase in the median age reflects the aging of the baby boomers. Both Nassau and Suffolk Counties experienced an increase in median age between 1990 and 2000, rising from 37 to 38.5 in Nassau County, and from 34 to 36.5 in Suffolk County. This factor illustrates an aging population. The increase in births since the mid 1980's has slowed the decline in household size. 2000 Federal Census data revealed that children under the age.of 18 resided in approximately 40 percent of the occupied households in the region. A decrease was noted in the overall percentage of households with children since 1990, which is also supportive of an aging society. D. NONPUBLIC SCHOOLENROLLMENT A final factor that has the potential to impact public school enrollment is the attendance of students in the non-public schools. In 2001, nonpublic school enrollment represented approximately 11 percent of the region's total student enrollment, with approximately 15 percent of Nassau's student population and 7 percent of Suffolk's student population attending nonpublic schools. An increasing percentage of children attending public schools has been seen since 1980, when 12 percent of the region's students attended nonpublic schools. This decline in nonpublic school enrollment contributes to the increase in regional public school enrollment since 1990. Additionally, greater return to the public schools from the nonpublic schools is typically seen in grades 1 and 9. The demographics of a nation, state, or county forecast over a period of years may show trends that would otherwise be imperceptible over a shorter amount of time. Therefore, anticipation of shifts in population and demographic distribution are important to the success of a society, and are particularly important in forecasting school enrollment. The ability to project student populations accurately promotes the success of the District. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ........ page I I I I I I I i I I I ! I i I I I I I Il NASSAU - SUFFOLK PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT II A. OVERVIEW The enrollment data used for this study of the bi-county, Nassau/Suffolk, regional public school enrollment were obtained from the New York State Education Department for 1991- 92 through 2001-02. The state obtained their data directly from each school district. It is, however, common for district records to differ from those provided by the State. The intent of this study was to analyze historical trends of the region in order to project general trends for the future. The Nassau/Suffolk region consists of 127 public school districts; with 56 school districts in Nassau County, and 71 school districts in Suffolk County, as detailed on Appendix pages A- l through A-3. The majority of these school districts maintain schools to educate students in grades K - 12 (95); however, also in existence are districts configured as follows K - 6 (20), K - 8 (5), 1 - 3 (1), 2 - 4 (1), 7 - 12 (4), and one ungraded district. The average regional district enrollment consisted of 3,623 students during the 2001-02 school year; with enrollment ranging from 11 students (New Suffolk CSD, grades K - 6, Suffolk County) to 16,020 students (Brentwood UFSD, grades K- 12, Suffolk County). The public school districts in the Nassau/Suffolk region maintain a total of 647 instructional facilities, with 311 schools in Nassau County and 336 schools in Suffolk County, as detailed on Appendix pages A-4 through A-16. Three new buildings were opened in Nassau County this year. A further breakdown of this data shows that the average elementary school contained 539 students during the 2001-02 school year, similar to the 2000-01 enrollment. Elementary enrollment ranged from 11 students in the New Suffolk Common School (grades K - 6, New Suffolk Common SD, Suffolk County), to 1,611 students in the Longwood Middle School (grades 5 - 6, Longwood CSD, Suffolk County). It is important to note that although this facility is referred to as a "Middle School", all students in grades K - 6 were included in the elementary grade category. The average middle school contained 911 students during the 2001-02 school year, up approximately 4 percent from 2000-01. Middle grades enrollment ranged from 267 students in the Port Jefferson Middle School (grades 6 - 8, Port Jefferson UFSD, Suffolk County) to 1,881 students in the Lindenhurst Middle School (grades 6 - 8, Lindenhurst UFSD, Suffolk County). The average high school contained 1,198 students during the 2001-02 school year, up 3 percent from 2000-01. Secondary enrollment ranged from 41 students in the Village School (grades 9 - 12, Great Neck UFSD, Nassau County) to 4,301 students in the Sachem High School (grades 9 - 12, Sachem CSD, Suffolk County). Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 9 A total of 17 schools changed grade configurations in 2001-02, with 7 schools affected in 3 Nassau County districts, and 10 schools affected in 6 Suffolk County districts. Additionally, 3 schools were newly created or reopened in Nassau County this past year, while one Kindergarten Center closed inactive in 2001. B. ENROLLMENT It is noted that the methodology employed in preparation of projections requires the use of statistics, and number rounding of fractions to the nearest whole number. Therefore, the sum of the numbers presented in tables may not always equal the presented total. | ] 1 1 ~1. K- 12 ENROLLMENT Following a decline in public school enrollment in the 1970's and early 1980's, enrollment in grades K- 12 increased dramatically through the 1990's. The United States Department of Education expects this growth to continue and peak by 2005, and then begin to decline slightly. The local region, too, has experienced enrollment growth, particularly since 1990. I 600000 500000 400000 300000 Nassau/Suffolk Region ~ '-~ Suffolk County v ~ ~ - - - - 200000 ~ ¢ ~ ~ ; ~ v Nassau County 100000 , , , , , ~ , , , , , , , , , ' 0 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 95 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 year As shown in Figure 2, regional enrollment rose throughout the historical period, with 72,386 students gained between 1991 and 2001. · Since 1991, Nassau County showed an overall gain of 33,915 students, or 20 percent of its enrollment. Suffolk County showed an overall gain of 38,471 students, or 18 percent of its enrollment over the last decade. Figure 2 - Regional K - 12 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 The bi-county ungraded enrollment has continued to show a decline each year since 1999. In 2001/02, an 8 percent loss was noted, resembling the 9 percent decline the year before. As Districts explore the options for special education students, such as inclusion programs, we may see shifts in this population, as well as in the grade level counts. The total number of students enrolled in public school will not change. However, the placement of students receiving special services is subject to individual District practice, and may result in variations in total bi-county grade level enrollments. For the purposes of preparing enrollment projections, the assumption was made that the ungraded enrollment, as a separate count, will continue to decline as greater numbers of special education students are transitioned into regular education classes. I I I i I Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School~ Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 10 I ! ! i i The regional K - 12 enrollment is projected to continue the increases seen during the past ten years. A regional increase of 5.5 percent is projected between 2001 and 2006, bringing the regional enrollment from 460,118 students in 2001 to 485,437 students in 2006. Suffolk County is projected to rise at a slightly faster rate (6 percent) than Nassau County (5 percent) during this time. The K - 12 enrollment in Nassau County is projected to rise from 205,919 students in 2001-02 to 215,585 students in 2006-07. The K - 12 enrollment in Suffolk County is projected to rise from 254,199 students in 2001-02 to 269,852 students in 2006-07. The historical and projected enrollment is presented in Table 4, and detailed on Appendix pages B-1 through B-6. TABLE 4 - REGIONAL ENROLLMENT 1991 - 2006 Year Un~lraded K - 5 6 - 8 9 - 12 K - 12 1991 12,453 172,692 86,200 116,387 387,732 1992 13,611 175,783 86,309 115,704 391,407 1993 16,699 179,758 86,819 115,407 3957A'~ 1994 13,578 185,193 87,623 114,868 401,262 t 995 13,827 191,643 88,068 114,677 408,215 t996 14,219 196,879 89,285 115,587 415,970 1997 14,510 201,499 91,029 115,687 422,725 1998 14,049 206,573 94,876 117,224 432,722 1999 14,223 209,767 99,249 119,106 442,345 2000 12,929 212,658 104,597 121,885 452,069 2001 11,835 212,649 109,083 126,551 460,118 projected 2002 11,144 212,368 112,046 132,097 467,655 projected 2003 10,461 211,806 113,992 137,729 473,988 projected 2004 9,803 211,192 113,821 144,776 479,592 projected 2005 9,157 210,417 114,400 149,548 483,521 projected 2006 8,514 209,794 114,310 152,820 485,437 i I Source: Historical data from the New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data Projections prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning & Research The projected enrollment increases can be attributed to several factors. First, Nassau County exhibited the trend to maintain or gain students in transition to grades 1 through 9. Suffolk exhibited the trend to gain or maintain students in transition to grade 1, and grades 3 through 9. The greatest gains, in both Counties, are noted in transition to grades 1 and 9. These are the grades generally most influenced by the return of nonpublic students to the public schools. The gain in students that move from kindergarten to first grade in the public schools is often affected by the availability of a full-day kindergarten program. Generally, the districts that do not offer a full-day program will see a larger gain than those that do. The public schools have increased the offering of full-day kindergarten programs over the past ten years. In 2001/02, 87 of the 120 school districts that offered a kindergarten program, had full-day programs, as compared to 73 districts in 2000-01. Changing family patterns, including more single parent households, an increased number of working parents, and an increase in the number of children with previous pre-school or day care experience, creates the need for both parents and children, to have full-day programs. While the state of New York encourages districts to develop full-day kindergarten programs, insufficient and uncertain funding has made it difficult for interested districts to initiate. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 11 Second, the kindergarten enrollment increased steadily between 1991 and 1995, and remained relatively stable through 2000. Slight growth was noted in 2001. Enrollment is' expected to remain-somewhat steady, relative to the influence of housing factors (higher movement of younger families into districts), paired with birthrates and number of live births in the region. While Nassau County births have shown a slight decline over the past few years, Suffolk County births have risen. The changes in the ethnic diversity of the region are also projected to maintain a higher overall birthrate. Third, a significant contributor to the regional enrollment growth between 1991 and 2001 has been a larger incoming kindergarten class displacing a smaller graduating class. Continued gains are projected to add 784 - 4,108 students per year between 2002 and 2005. Fourth, relative to these factors is increasing grade level size. The average regional grade level size of grades 2 - 12 is projected to show gains in 2001 - 2006, as compared to the average grade level size in 1996 - 2001. 25% 20% 10% 5o/0_ 0% -5% 96-01 '01 -06 comparative years IEIK- 5 D'6- 8 El'9- 121 Figure 3 - Regional Grade Enrollment Comparison 1996 - 2006 As shown in Figure 3, the greatest enrollment growth during the past five years (1996 - 2001) was in the middle grade configuration. Growth is projected to continue in the middle grades through 2005, and the secondary grades through 2006, as increased grade levels progress through the system. The greatest growth during the projection period is shown in the secondary grade configuration. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public~ School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 12 ~ 2. ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT (K- 5) 250000 ' 200000 ~ 150000 '~ 100000 '13 ~ 50000 Nassau/Suffolk Region a~~Ir - Suffolk County Nassau County 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 year The regional K - 5 enrollment rose by 39,957 students, or 23 percent, between 1991 and 2001, bringing the enrollment to 212,649 students. Nassau and Suffolk Counties both have shown growth since 1991. Nassau County gained 17,284 students, or 22 percent, during the past ten years, while Suffolk County gained 22,673 students, or almost 24 3ercent, over the last decade. Figure 4 - Regional K - 5 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 The regional K - 5 enrollment is projected to decline throughout the projection period, with a loss of 2,855 students, or 1.3 percent of the current enrollment, between 2001and 2006. Nassau is projected to fall to 92,455 students by 2006-07, while Suffolk County is expected to fall to 117,339 students by this same time. 3. MIDDLE ENROLLMENT (6 - 8) 140000 - 120000 E 100000 80000 60000 ' 40000 20000 Nassau/Suffolk Region Suffolk County Nassau County 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 I 2 3 4 5 6 year Figure 5 - Regional 6 - 8 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 The regional 6 - 8 enrollment rose by 22,883 students between 1991 and 2001, as shown in Figure 5. Nassau County gained about 28 percent during 1991 and 2001, while Suffolk County showed an overall gain of approximately 25 percent during this time. The regional 6 - 8 enrollment is projected to rise, with an increase of 5,227 students, or 5 percent, between 2001 and 2006. Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 13 Nassau County is expected to grow by 4 percent, or 1,821 students, during the projection period. Suffolk County is forecasted to gain 3,406 students, or 6 percent, during this time. ' The 6 - 8 enrollment in Nassau County is projected to rise from 49,704 students in 2001~02 to 51,525 students in 2006-07. Suffolk County enrollment is expected to grow from 59,379 students in 2001-02 to 62,785 students by 2006-07. II 4. SECONDARY ENROLLMENT (9 - 12) 160000 ~ 140000 ,~ 120000 ~O 100000 8 0000' .~ 6O000 40000 20000 Nassau/Suffolk Region Suffolk County Nassau County 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 year 2 3 4 5 6 Figure 6 - Regional 9 - 12 Enrollment 1991 - 2006 The regional 9 - 12 enrollment showed an overall increase of 10,164 students, between 1991 and 2001, as shown in Figure 6. Nassau County enrollment remained relatively stable through 1992, and then rose between 1993 and 2001. An overall gain of 6,578 students, or 13 percent, is noted, however, during the ten-year period. Suffolk County showed losses throughout most of the historical period, but was followed by growth beginning in 1998. The regional 9 - 12 enrollment is projected to show growth of 21 percent between 2001 and 2006, bringing the regional 9 - 12 enrollment from 126,551 students in 2001-02 to 152,820 students in 2006-07. Nassau County is projected to continue historical gains, with an 18 percent rise in secondary enrollment, bringing the number of students to 69,183 by 2006-07. Suffolk County is expected to show growth, as well. A 23 percent increase in enro ment is projected between 2001 and 2006, bringing the number of students to 83,637 by the end of the projection period. I I 1 Annual Regional Nassau - Suffolk Public School Demographic Study, January 2003 ............... page 14 le Western Suffolk BOCES, Division of Instructional Support Services, School Planning & Research, offers assistance to school districts in long range This assistance includes expert, objective analysis of demographic ~nrollment trends, projection of future enrollments by school and grade, evaluates the lucational capacities of all facilities, and investigates organizational options which be feasible for efficient and ~itable district o For further details, or to contract for this service, please contact: Bonnie Cap, School Planning Coordinator Division of Instructional Support Services Western Suffolk BOCES - Washington Learning Center 220 Washington Avenue Deer Park, New York 11729 Phone (631)242- 1128 E-mail: bcap(~wsboces.or~ APPENDIX A NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 rurce: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data I~OUNTY DISTRICT GRADES ENROLLMENT i ASSAU Baldwin K - 12 5,406 ASSAU Bellmore K - 6 1,313 NASSAU Bellmore-Merrick 7 - 12 5,462 ASSAU Bethpage K- 12 2,925 ASSAU Carle Place K- 12 1,561 ASSAU East Meadow K - 12 8,047 NASSAU East Rockaway K - 12 1,263 i ASSAU East Williston K - 12 1,671 ASSAU Elmont K - 6 4,095 ASSAU Farmingdale K- 12 6,443 i ASSAU Floral Park K - 6 1,584 ASSAU Franklin Square K - 6 1,887 ASSAU Freeport K - 12 6,894 NASSAU Garden City K - 12 3,926 i ASSAU Glen Cove K - 12 3,216 ASSAU Great Neck K - 12 5,925 ASSAU Hempstead K - 12 7,032 NASSAU Herricks K- 12 3,868 i ASSAU Hewlett Woodmere K o 12 3,273 ASSAU Hicksville K - 12 4,992 NASSAU Island Park K - 8 808 I ASSAU Island Trees K - 12 2,696 ASSAU Jericho K- 12 3,059 ASSAU Lawrence K - 12 3,704 NASSAU Levittown K - 12 7,908 i ASSAU Locust Valley K - 12 2,168 ASSAU Long Beach K - 12 4,302 NASSAU Lynbrook K - 12 3,077 ASSAU Malverne K - 12 1,836 ASSAU Manhasset K - 12 2,511 ASSAU Massapequa K - 12 7,988 NASSAU Merrick K - 6 1,961 ASSAU Mineola K - 12 2,727 ASSAU New Hyde Park K - 6 1,648 ASSAU North Bellmore K - 6 2,520 ASSAU North Merrick K - 6 1,308 ASSAU North Shore K - 12 2,569 ASSAU Oceanside K - 12 6,304 NASSAU Oyster Bay-East Norwich K - 12 1,458 ASSAU Plainedge K - 12 3,434 ASSAU Plainview-OId Bethpage K- 12 4,767 ASSAU Port Washington K - 12 4,581 NASSAU Rockville Centre K - 12 3,636 i ASSAU Roosevelt K 12 3,175 ASSAU Roslyn K- 12 3,069 NASSAU Seaford K- 12 2,628 ASSAU Sewanhaka 7- 12 8,168 ASSAU Syosset K- 12 6,370 ASSAU Uniondale K - 12 6,078 NASSAU Valley Stream CHSD 7 - 12 4,313 r ASSAU Valley Stream #13 K - 6 2,226 ASSAU Valley Stream #24 K - 6 1,091 NASSAU Valley Stream #30 K - 6 1,501 ASSAU Wantagh K - 12 3,4t 5 ASSAU West Hempstead K - 12 2,377 ASSAU Westbury K - 12 3,755 Iprepared by Western Suffolk BOCES, Office of School Planning Research A-2 NASSAU~UFFOLK - DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Soume: New York S~ Education Depadment: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT GRADES ENROLLMENT SUFFOLK Amagansett K - 6 112 SUFFOLK Amityville K- 12 3,172 SUFFOLK Babylon K - 12 1,999 SUFFOLK Bay Shore K - 12 5,559 SUFFOLK Bayport- Blue Point K- 12 2,384 SUFFOLK Brentwood K- 12 16,020 SUFFOLK Bridgehampton K- 12 148 SUFFOLK Center Moriches K o 12 1,375 SUFFOLK Central Islip K- 12 6,406 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor K- 12 1,999 SUFFOLK Commack K- 12 7,045 SUFFOLK Comsewogue K- 12 3,873 SUFFOLK Connetquot K- 12 7,001 SUFFOLK Copiague K - 12 4,540 SUFFOLK Deer Park K - 12 4,229 SUFFOLK Ea.t Hampton K - 12 1,937 SUFFOLK East Islip K- 12 5,227 · SUFFOLK East Moriches K - 8 700 SUFFOLK East Quogue K - 6 446 SUFFOLK Eastport K - 6 944 SUFFOLK Eastport-South Manor CHSD 7 - 12 1,081 SUFFOLK Elwood K - 12 2,360 SUFFOLK Fire Island K - 6 53 SUFFOLK Fishers Island K - 12 62 SUFFOLK Greenport K - 12 652 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills K - 12 8,699 SUFFOLK Hampton Bays K - 12 1,681 SUFFOLK Harborfields K - 12 3,278 SUFFOLK Hauppauge K - 12 3,907 SUFFOLK Huntington K - 12 4,109 SUFFOLK Islip K - 12 3,523 SUFFOLK Kings Park K- 12 3,862 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst K- 12 7,627 SUFFOLK Little Flower ungraded 99 SUFFOLK Longwood K- 12 9,863 SUFFOLK Mattituck K- 12 1,545 SUFFOLK Middle Country K- 12 10,985 SUFFOLK Miller Place K - 12 2,965 SUFFOLK Montauk K - 8 425 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai K - 12 2,394 SUFFOLK New Suffolk K - 6 11 SUFFOLK North Babylon K- 12 5,173 SUFFOLK Northport~East Northport K - 12 6,088 SUFFOLK Oysterponds K - 6 116 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford K- 12 9,141 SUFFOLK Port Jefferson K - 12 1,106 SUFFOLK Quogue K - 6 99 SUFFOLK Remsenburg - Speonk K - 6 t69 SUFFOLK Riverhead K- 12 4,828 SUFFOLK Rocky Point K - 12 3,524 SUFFOLK Sachem K- 12 15,136 prepare(T§~-~es~ern S'u"lroT~; I::;L)L;~ O]f~e of-S-cl~EoTPlann~n~-R'6searc-~ A-3 NASSAU-SUFFOLK ' DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data - D,STR,CT G...DES E..OLLME"T Sag Harbor K - 12 SUFFOLK 2 - 4 SUFFOLK Sagaponack SUFFOLK Sayville K - 12 SUFFOLK Shelter Island K - 12 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading River K - 12 SUFFOLK Smithtown K - 12 SUFFOLK South Country K - 12 SUFFOLK South Huntington K- 12 SUFFOLK South Manor K - 6 SUFFOLK Southampton K - 12 SUFFOLK Southold K- 12 SUFFOLK Springs K - 8 SUFFOLK Three Village K - 12 SUFFOLK Tuckahoe Common K - 8 SUFFOLK Wainscott 1 - 3 SUFFOLK West Babylon K - 12 SUFFOLK West Islip K - 12 SUFFOLK Westhampton Beach K - 12 SUFFOLK William Floyd K- 12 I I I i I 15 3,610 285 2,621 9,453 4,666 6,007 959 1,707 990 576 7,813 292 12 4,837 5,810 1,768 9,997 SUFFOLK Wyandanch K o 12 2,221 TTL NASSAU 56 205,919 'I-FL K-12 DISTRICTS 41 80.6% 166,034 TTL K-6 DISTRICTS 11 10.3% 21,134 TTL K-8 DISTRtCTS 1 0.4% 808 'Fi'L 7-12 DISTRICTS 3 6.7% 17,943 TOTAL 56 100.0% 205,919 SMALLEST K-12 East Rockaway 1,263 LARGEST K-12 East Meadow 8,047 SMALLEST island Park 808 LARGEST E~st Meadow 8,168 3,677 MEAN 3,196 MEDIAN TTL SUFFOLK 71 254,199 TTL K-12 DISTRICTS 54 97.6% 248,090 TTL K-8 DISTRICTS 4 0.8% 1,993 TTL K-6 DISTRICTS 9 1.1% 2,909 ~I'L 7-12 DISTRICTS 1 0.4% 1,081 OTHER: 1-3, 2-4 2 0.0% 27 UNGRADED 1 0.0% 99 TOTAL 71 254,199 SMALLEST K-12 Fishers Island 62 LARGEST K-12 Brentwood 16,020 SMALLEST New Suffolk 11 LARGEST Brentwood 16,020 3,580 MEAN 2,394 MEDIAN NASSAU/SUFFOLK 127 460,118 TTL K-12 DISTRICTS 95 90.0% 414,124 TTL K-8 DISTRICTS 5 0.6% 2,801 TTL K-6 DISTRICTS 20 5.2% 24,043 TTL 7-12 DISTRICTS 4 4.1% 19,024 OTHER: 1 - 3, 2 - 4 2 0.0% 27 UNGRADED 1 0.0% 99 TOTAL 127 100.0% 460,118 3,623 MEAN 3,069 MEDIAN prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES, Office of School p~anning Research A--4 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU West Hempstead Chestnut Street School K 167 NASSAU Bellmore Reinhard ECC K 180 NASSAU Lynbrook Kindergarten Center K 216 NASSAU Lawrence School 4 K 255 NASSAU Westbury Dryden Street School K 304 NASSAU Plainview Plainview Kng Center K 338 NASSAU Freeport Columbus Ave. ECC K 434 NASSAU Oceanside School 6 K 465 NASSAU Hempstead Early Childhood Cntr. K 489 NASSAU Garden City Locust School K - 1 165 NASSAU Garden City Hemlock School K - 1 185 NASSAU Garden City Homestead School K - 1 256 NASSAU Roslyn Roslyn Heights ES K - 1 424 NASSAU Hewlett-Woodmere Franklin ECC K - 1 427 NASSAU Oyster Bay Roosevelt School K - 2 338 NASSAU Carle Place Cherry Lane School K * 2 355 NASSAU Glen Cove Gribbin School K - 2 361 NASSAU Glen Cove Deasy School K - 2 442 NASSAU Roosevelt Harry D. Daniels School K - 3 308 NASSAU Malverne Downing School K - 4 319 NASSAU Malverne Davison Ave. ES K - 4 337 NASSAU Island Trees J.F. Sparke School K - 4 400 NASSAU Island Park Francis X. Hegarty ES K - 4 433 NASSAU East Williston North Side School K - 4 588 NASSAU Island Trees M.F. Stokes School K - 4 629 NASSAU Baldwin Milburn ES K- 5 136 NASSAU Rockville Centre Riverside School K - 5 165 NASSAU Baldwin Shubert ES K - 5 213 NASSAU Baldwin Brookside ES K - 5 228 NASSAU Rockville Centre Watson School K - 5 240 NASSAU Mineola Meadow Drive School K - 5 252 NASSAU Hicksville Dutch Lane School K - 5 277 NASSAU Mineola Cross St'. School K - 5 285 NASSAU Baldwin Steele ES K - 5 289 NASSAU Mineola Hampton St. School K - 5 290 NASSAU Rockville Centre Wm. S. Covert School K - 5 294 NASSAU Hicksville Bums Ave. School K - 5 300 NASSAU Hicksville Fork Lane School K - 5 323 NASSAU Hicksville Old Country Rd. School K - 5 323 NASSAU Uniondale Grand Ave. School K - 5 327 NASSAU Hicksville Woodland Ave. School K - 5 328 NASSAU SyoSset Willits ES K - 5 341 NASSAU Baldwin Lenox ES K - 5 346 NASSAU North Shore Sea Cliff ES K - 5 353 NASSAU Hicksville East Street School K - 5 357 NASSAU North Bellmore Martin Ave. ES K - 5 360 NASSAU Levittown Lee Road School K - 5 360 NASSAU Long Beach West ES K - 5 364 NASSAU Syosset Walt Whitman ES K - 5 380 NASSAU Syosset South Grove ES K - 5 381 ========= ===== ============ II II II l II I ! I ! B I I e I III I11 ! A-5 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 iSource: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU Bethpage Kramer Lane ES K - 5 391 NASSAU Wantagh Mandalay ES K - 5 398 NASSAU Syosset Village ES K - 5 410 NASSAU Rockville Centre Wilson School K - 5 4t8 NASSAU North Shore Glen Head ES K - 5 426 NASSAU Plainedge Eastplain School K - 5 456 NASSAU Jericho Cantaigue ES K - 5 447 NASSAU Long Beach East ES K - 5 447 NASSAU Port Washington John J. Daly ES K - 5 449 NASSAU Jericho Robert Seaman ES K - 5 452 NASSAU Syosset Baylis ES K - 5 453 NASSAU Hicksville Lee Ave. School K - 5 456 NASSAU Bethpage C. Campagne Schoo. I K - 5 467 NASSAU East Meadow Meadowbreok ES K - 5 470 NASSAU Wantagh Forest Lake School K - 5 472 NASSAU Syosset Berry Hill ES K - 5 478 NASSAU Mineola Jackson Ave. School K - 5 479 NASSAU Rockville Centre Hewitt School K - 5 480 NASSAU North Shore Glenwood Landing ES K - 5 492 NASSAU Great Neck Saddle Rock School K - 5 496 NASSAU Uniondale Smith St. School K - 5 501 NASSAU Bethpage Central Blvd. ES K - 5 505 NASSAU Jericho Jackson School K - 5 512 NASSAU Baldwin Plaza ES K - 5 512 NASSAU Herricks Denton Ave. School K - 5 513 NASSAU Uniondale Walnut St. School K - 5 519 NASSAU Syosset Robbins Lane ES K - 5 522 NASSAU Great Neck J.F. Kennedy School K - 5 523 NASSAU Great Neck E.M Baker School K - 5 529 NASSAU Locust Valley Bayville ES K - 5 533 NASSAU Long Beach Lindell Blvd. School K - 5 537 NASSAU Locust Valley Locust Valley ES K - 5 539 NASSAU Herricks Searingtown School K - 5 54'1 NASSAU Long Beach Lido ES K - 5 55'1 NASSAU East Meadow Parkway School K - 5 559 NASSAU Port Washington Manorhaven ES K - 5 559 NASSAU Levittown Summit Lane School K - 5 566 NASSAU Seaford Seaford Manor School K - 5 579 NASSAU Plainedge John J. West School K - 5 589 NASSAU Herricks Center St. School K - 5 591 NASSAU Levittown Northside School K - 5 600 NASSAU Port Washington J.P. Sousa ES K - 5 616 NASSAU Plainedge C.E. Schwarting School K - 5 629 NASSAU Port Washington Guggenheim ES K - 5 643 NASSAU Seaford Seaford Harbor School K - 5 662 NASSAU Baldwin Meadow ES K - 5 706 NASSAU Levittown Gardiners Ave. School K - 5 720 NASSAU Levittown East Broadway School K - 5 779 NASSAU Uniondale Northern Pkwy School K - 5 786 NASSAU Levittown Abbey Lane School K - 5 802 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-6 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU Uniondale Cornelius Complex K - 5 811 NASSAU East Meadow McVey ES K - 5 836 NASSAU Wantagh Wantagh School K - 5 840 NASSAU Great Neck Lakeville School K - 5 863 NASSAU East Meadow Bowling Green School K - 5 891 NASSAU East Meadow Barnum Woods School K - 5 910 NASSAU New Hyde Park Garden City PI. Park School K - 6 266 NASSAU North Bellmore Jacob Gunther ES K - 6 303 NASSAU Valley Stream 24 Brooklyn Ave. School K - 6 304 NASSAU Valley Stream 30 Forest Rd, School K - 6 305 NASSAU North Merrick H.D, Fayette School K - 6 318 NASSAU Valley Stream 24 Wm. L. Buck School K - 6 331 NASSAU Elmont Stewart Manor ES K - 6 342 NASSAU East Rockaway Centre Ave. ES K - 6 345 NASSAU New Hyde Park Manor Oaks Wm. Bowie K - 6 348 NASSAU North Bellmore Dinkelmeyer School K - 6 363 NASSAU North Bellmore Park Ave. School K - 6 383 NASSAU East Rockaway Rhame Ave. ES K - 6 387 NASSAU North Bellmore Newbridge Rd. School K - 6 437 NASSAU Valley Stream 24 R.W. Carbonaro School K - 6 456 NASSAU Valley Stream 13 Willow Rd. School K - 6 477 NASSAU North Merrick Old Mill Rd. School K - 6 481 NASSAU Valley Stream 30 Clearstream Ave. School K - 6 490 NASSAU New Hyde Park Hillside GS K - 6 492 NASSAU Franklin Square John St. School K - 6 501 NASSAU Roosevelt Centennial Ave. ES K - 6 502 NASSAU North Merrick Camp Ave. School K - 6 509 NASSAU Roosevelt Washington School K - 6 516 NASSAU Elmont Alden Terrace K - 6 520 NASSAU New Hyde Park New Hyde Pk Rd. School K - 6 542 NASSAU Merrick Chatterton School K - 6 545 NASSAU Valley Stream 13 James A. Dever School K - 6 558 NASSAU Roosevelt Ulysses Byas ES K - 6 559 NASSAU Valley Stream 13 Howell Rd. School K - 6 582 NASSAU Manhasset Munsey Park ES K - 6 584 NASSAU Massapequa Lockhart ES K - 6 604 NASSAU Franklin Square Polk St. School K - 6 616 NASSAU Farmingdale Northside ES K - 6 621 NASSAU Massapequa McKenna ES K - 6 660 NASSAU Merrick Birch School K - 6 674 NASSAU North Bellmore Saw Mill Rd. School K - 6 674 NASSAU EImont Covert Ave. School K - 6 675 NASSAU Floral Park J.L. Childs School K - 6 687 NASSAU Valley Stream 30 Shaw Ave. School K - 6 706 NASSAU Massapequa East Lake ES K - 6 717 NASSAU Merrick Lakeside School K - 6 743 NASSAU Massapequa Fairfield ES K - 6 759 NASSAU Franklin Square Washington St. School K - 6 770 NASSAU Elmont Gotham Ave, School K - 6 773 NASSAU Manhasset Shelter Rock ES K - 6 776 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research II II ! I J I l l l I I I I I I A-7 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 mource: New York State ~ducation Departme~ Bureau of Educational Data D,STR,CTSC.OOL .*DESE.ROL ME.T Massapequa Unqua ES K-6 816 iNASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU NASSAU NASSAU iNASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU ~NASSAU NASSAU INASSAU ~NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU mNASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU m NASSAU ~NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU IASSAU NASSAU Elmont Farmingdale Farmingdale Floral Park Elmont Massapequa Farmingdale Westbury Hempstead Bellmore Freeport Plainview Plainview Plainview Plainview Hempstead Freeport Freeport Freeport Lynbrook Lawrence Lawrence Lawrence West Hempstead Lawrence · West Hempstead Lynbrook Lynbrook Roslyn Hempstead Oceanside Oceanside Hempstead Oceanside Oceanside Oceanside I-lempstead Oceanside Valley Stream 13 Hempstead Hewlett-Woodmere Hewlett-Woodmere Roslyn Garden City Garden City Glen Cove Glen Cove Carlson School Saltzman East Mem. ES Albany Ave. ES Floral Pk-Bellerose Schl Dutch Brdwy School Birch Lane ES Woodward Pkwy ES Park Avenue School Jackson Annex Winthrop Ave. Center New Visions ES Parkway School Old Bethpage School Pasadena ES Stratford Rd, School Ludlum School Archer St, School Bayview Ave. School Giblyn School Waverly Park School School 6 School 1 School 5 Cornwell Ave. School School 2 Washington School West End School Marion St. School Harbor Hill School Rhodes ES School 4 Boardman ES Prospect School School 5 School 3 School 2 Fulton School School 8 Wheeler Ave. School Franklin School Ogden ES Hewlett ES East Hills School Stewart School Stratford Ave. School Connolly School Landing School K-6 k-6 k-6 K-6 K-6 K-6 k-6 1-2 1-3 1-3 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-4 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-5 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 1-6 2-5 2-5 2-5 2-5 2-5 3-4 3-4 836 877 891 897 949 1,038 1,293 701 361 550 268 357 365 378 406 491 6O0 61~ 680 271 280 3OO 317 355 398 462 464 486 548 571 396 456 485 555 566 566 568 609 637 399 537 575 634 657 232 237 I NASSAU Hempstead Jackson School 3 - 5 334 NASSAU Westbury Drexel Ave. School 3- 5 _ __4..5~5__ __ ========-- =====: =_= ...... =__ ^-8 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU Westbury Powells Lane School NASSAU Oyster Bay Vernon MS NASSAU Carle Place Rushmore Ave. School NASSAU Bellmore Shore Rd, Intermed. Cfr. NASSAU Freeport Atkinson School NASSAU East Williston Willets Rd, School NASSAU Island Park Lincoln Orens School NASSAU Malverne Herber MS NASSAU Plainview Plainview MS NASSAU Plainview H.B. Mattlin MS NASSAU Island Trees Island Trees MS NASSAU Glen Cove Glen Cove MS NASSAU Lynbrook Lynbreok North MS NASSAU Lynbrook Lynbrook South MS NASSAU West Hempstead West Hempstead MS NASSAU Locust Valley Locust Valley MS NASSAU Mineola Mineola MS NASSAU North Shore North Shore MS NASSAU Great Neck Great Neck North MS NASSAU Seaford Seaford MS NASSAU East Meadow Clarke MS NASSAU Uniondale Turtle Hook JHS NASSAU Syosset South Woods MS NASSAU Roslyn Roslyn MS NASSAU Bethpage J.F. Kennedy MS NASSAU Jericho Jericho MS NASSAU Wantagh Wantagh MS NASSAU Uniondale Lawrence Rd. JHS NASSAU Great Neck Great Neck South MS NASSAU Hewlett-Woodmere Woodmere MS NASSAU Westbury Westbury MS NASSAU Syosset H.B. Thompson MS NASSAU Plainedge Sylvia Packard MS NASSAU Lawrence Lawrence MS NASSAU Levittown Wisdom Lane MS NASSAU Rockville Centre South Side MS NASSAU Garden City Garden City MS NASSAU Herricks Herricks MS NASSAU Levittown Jonas E. Salk MS NASSAU Port Washington C.P. Weber MS NASSAU Long Beach Long Beach MS NASSAU Hicksville Hicksville MS NASSAU East Meadow Woodland MS NASSAU Baldwin Baldwin MS NASSAU Hempstead A.B.G. Schultz MS NASSAU Manhasset Manhasset MS NASSAU Bellmore-Merrick Merrick Ave. MS NASSAU Oceanside Oceanside MS NASSAU Farmingdale Howitt School NASSAU Bellmore-Merrick Grand Ave. MS 3-5 3-6 3-6 4-6 5-6 5-7 5-8 5-8 5-8 5-8 5-8 5-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6-8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 8 7 8 7-8 7-8 7-8 7-8 484 457 472 583 1,133 396 375 603 687 811 939 977 297 465 495 512 626 653 654 667 692 700 712 723 733 772 774 795 8O6 820 835 843 868 907 912 948 986 993 1,036 1,053 1,087 1,203 1,312 1,327 1,360 413 958 1,039 t,051 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-9 ~ NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 ' 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data ====-=== == ==== =======-= ENROLLMENT DISTRICT SCHOOL couNTY =~__===__ =_-===-.~. ===-= ========= ====== ========--=== ========= ======= ========= ========= --- - .... 1,163 Freeport John W. Dodd JHS 7 - 8 NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU NASSAU Massapequa Valley Stream East Rockaway Oyster Bay Carle Place Valley Stream Valley Stream Roosevelt Sewanhaka Sewanhaka Sewanhaka Sawanhaka Sewanhaka East Williston Massapequa Great Neck Malveme Locust Valley North Shore Seaford Island Trees Manhasset Mineola Roslyn Bethp'age East Meadow Jericho Lynbrook West Hempstead Plainedge Wantagh Great Neck Glen Cove Levittown Westbury Bellmore-Merrick Garden City Levittown Great Neck Hewlett-Woodmere Rockvffie Centre Bellmore-Merrick Herricks Lawrence Port Washington Bellmore-Merrick Long Beach Hicksville Berner JHS 7 - 8 1,266 V.S. Memorial JHS 7 - 9 t,042 East Rockaway JSHS 7 - 12 531 Oyster Bay HS 7 - 12 663 Carie Place MSHS 7 - 12 734 V.S. North HS 7 - 12 1,073 V.S. South HS 7 - 12 1,225 Roosevelt HS 7 - 12 1,290 Floral Park Memorial HS 7 - 12 1,458 New Hyde Park JSHS 7 - 12 1,469 Sewanhaka HS 7 - 12 1,545 H. Frank Carey JS.HS 7- 12 1,677 Elmont Memodal JSHS 7 - 12 1,974 Wheatley School 8 - 12 687 MHS Ames Campus 9 532 Village School 9 - 12 41 Malveme SHS 9 - 12 577 Locust Valley HS 9 - 12 584 North Shore SHS 9 - 12 645 Seaford SHS 9 - 12 720 Island Trees HS 9 - 12 728 Manhasset SHS 9 - 12 738 Mineola HS 9 - 12 794 Roslyn HS 9 - 12 825 Bethpage SHS 9 - 12 829 Clarke HS 9 - 12 833 Jericho SHS 9 - 12 876 Lynbrook SHS 9 - 12 878 West Hempstead HS 9 - 12 899 Plainedge SHS 9 - 12 9~0 Wantagh SHS 9 - 12 929 Great Neck North HS 9 - 12 936 Glen Cove HS 9 - 12 967 Division Ave. SHS 9- 12 975 Westbury SHS 9 - 12 976 John F. Kennedy HS 9 - 12 1,022 Garden City HS 9 - 12 1,043 MacArthur SHS 9 - 12 1,065 Great Neck South HS 9 - 12 1,077 Hewlett HS 9 - 12 1,091 South Side HS 9 - 12 1,091 S.H. Calhoun HS 9 - 12 1,181 Herricks HS 9 - 12 1,230 Lawrence SHS 9 - 12 1,247 P.D. Schreiber SHS 9 - 12 t,247 W.C. Mepham HS 9 - 12 1,250 Long Beach SHS 9 - 12 1,316 Hicksville HS 9 - 12 1,425 NASSAU Plainview Plainview HS 9 - 12 1,425 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-lO NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT NASSAU East Meadow East Meadow HS 9 - 12 1,583 NASSAU Baldwin Baldwin SHS 9 - 12 1,649 NASSAU Uniondale Uniondale HS 9 - 12 1,651 NASSAU Farmingdale Farmingdale SHS 9 - 12 1,722 NASSAU Hempstead Hempstead HS 9 - 12 1,777 NASSAU Oceanside Oceanside SHS 9 - 12 1,830 NASSAU Syosset Syosset SHS 9 - 12 1,850 NASSAU Freeport Freeport HS 9 - 12 2,005 NASSAU Valley Stream V.S. Central HS 10- 12 973 NASSAU Massapequa Massapequa HS 10 - 12 1,596 SUFFOLK Little Flower Little Flower School ungraded 102 SUFFOLK Deer Park Lincoln School K 25 SUFFOLK Amityville Northeast School K 264 SUFFOLK East Islip Early Childhood Cntr. K 380 SUFFOLK Middle Country Bicycle Path School K 402 SUFFOLK Middle Country Unity Drive Learning Cfr. K 454 SUFFOLK Brentwood East ES K 455 SUFFOLK Central Islip Central Islip E.C.Cntr. K 483 SUFFOLK Brentwood Pine Park ES K 565 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor Goosehill Primary Ctr. K - 1 277 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading Rvr Briarcliff School K - 1 280 SUFFOLK Babylon Babylon ES K - 1 299 SUFFOLK Harborfields Taylor Ave. E.C. Cntr. K - 1 493 SUFFOLK Commack Rolling Hills School K - 2 315 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Fifth Ave. School K - 2 359 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Brook Ave. ES K - 2 396 SUFFOLK Commack Indian Hollow School K - 2 428 SUFFOLK Commack Wood Park School K - 2 498 SUFFOLK Deer Park John Quincy Adams ES K - 2 501 SUFFOLK Deer Park May Moore ES K - 2 514 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Mary G. Clarkson Schl K - 2 519 SUFFOLK Commack North Ridge School K - 2 544 SUFFOLK EIwood Harley Ave. ES K - 2 583 SUFFOLK South Huntington Countrywood Prim. Ctr. K - 2 645 SUFFOLK Miller Place Andrew Muller Pri. Schl K - 2 645 SUFFOLK South Huntington Oakwood Primary Ctr. K - 2 745 SUFFOLK Islip Islip K-2 Ctr. K - 2 794 SUFFOLK Huntington Flower Hill School K - 3 310 SUFFOLK Riverhead Aquebogue ES K - 3 3t5 SUFFOLK Huntington Washington School K - 3 337 SUFFOLK Huntington Jefferson School K - 3 339 SUFFOLK Riverhead Roanoke Ave. School K - 3 352 SUFFOLK South Country Kreamer St. School K - 3 358 SUFFOLK Huntington Southdown ES K - 3 388 SUFFOLK Riverhead Phillips Ave. School K - 3 409 SUFFOLK South Country Veme W. Critz ES K - 3 432 SUFFOLK Riverhead Riley Ave. School K - 3 449 SUFFOLK South Manor South St. School K - 3 541 SUFFOLK Kings Park Fort Salonga ES K - 3 612 SUFFOLK Kings Park Parkview ES K - 3 630 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research ! ! I ! I I I A-11 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data coUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT SUFFOLK South Country Brookhaven ES K - 3 657 SUFFOLK Rocky Point Frank J. Caraseti ES K - 3 1,132 SUFFOLK East Hampton John M. Marshall ES K - 4 496 SUFFOLK Southampton Southampton ES K - 4 581 SUFFOLK Longwood Ridge ES K - 4 857 SUFFOLK Longwood W. Middle Island School K - 4 900 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai Mount Sinai ES K - 4 92'1 SUFFOLK Longwood Coram ES K - 4 941 SUFFOLK Longwood C.E. Walters School K - 4 976 SUFFOLK Wyandanch Martin Luther King ES K - 4 1,036 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Blue Point ES K - 5 252 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst Harding Ave. School K - 5 369 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford River ES K - 5 370 SUFFOLK West Islip Captree ES K - 5 386 SUFFOLK Smithtown Branch Brook ES K - 5 387 SUFFOLK West Babylon Forest Ave. School K - 5 395 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Norwood Ave. School K - 5 399 SUFFOLK West Babylon South Bay School K - 5 405 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst AIleghany Ave. School K - 5 408 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst E.W. Bower School K - 5 4'1'1 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Sylvan Ave. ES K - 5 419 SUFFOLK Westhampton Beach Westhampton Bch ES K- 5 423 SUFFOLK Sag Harbor Sag Harbor ES K - 5 425 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Pulaski Rd. School K - 5 437 SUFFOLK West Islip Bayview ES K - 5 440 SUFFOLK Northpbrt-E. Northport Dickinson Ave. ES K - 5 440 SUFFOLK North Babylon Marion G. Vedder ES K - 5 447 SUFFOLK Hauppauge Forest Brook ES K - 5 447 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst West Gates Ave. School K - 5 449 SUFFOLK West Babylon Tooker Ave. School K - 5 450 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Norwood Ave. School K - 5 457 SUFFOLK West Babylon Santapogue School K - 5 460 SUFFOLK Sayville Cherry Ave. ES K - 5 467 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford Bay ES K - 5 472 SUFFOLK West Islip Oquenock ES K - 5 476 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Acad. St. ES K - 5 485 SUFFOLK North Babylon Woods Rd. ES K - 5 487 SUFFOLK West Islip Paul J. Bellew ES K - 5 494 SUFFOLK West Islip Westbrook ES K - 5 499 SUFFOLK Port Jefferson Port Jefferson ES K - 5 50'1 SUFFOLK Smithtown Nesconset ES K - 5 504 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Clinton Ave. School K - 5 5t0 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Otsego ES K - 5 516 SUFFOLK Comaewogue Boyle Rd. ES K - 5 519 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Ocean Ave. School K - 5 521 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Bellerose ES K - 5 522 SUFFOLK North Babylon Parliament Pi. School K - 5 522 SUFFOLK North Babylon Belmont ES K - 5 524 SUFFOLK Smithtown Mt. Pleasant ES K - 5 527 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Paumanok ES K - 5 536 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-12 I NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York Stat_e_=Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data I ................................. GRADES ENROLLMENT COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL North Babylon Wm. E. DeLuca Jr. ES K - 5 538 SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills West Babylon Lindenhurst Copiague West Islip Comsewogue Northport-E. Northport Fifth Ave. ES Smithtown Tackan ES Patchogue-Medford Sayville Smithtown Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills Smithtown Sayville Patchogue-Medford Half Hollow Hills Patchogue-Medford Hauppauge Smithtown Lindenhurst Copiague Lindenhurst Patchogue-Medford Smithtown Hauppauge Half Hollow Hills Patchogue-Medford Copiague William Floyd Brentwood William Floyd William Floyd William Floyd New Suffolk Fire Island Quogue Amagansett Oysterponds Remsenburg-Speonk Greenport Connetquot East Quogue Connetquot Connetquot East Islip Connetquot Southold Signal Hill ES K - 5 544 J.F. Kennedy School K - 5 549 Albany Ave. School K - 5 549 Great Neck Rd. ES K - 5 551 Manetuck ES K - 5 555 Terryville Rd. School K - 5 561 K - 5 570 K - 5 577 Medford ES K - 5 597 Lincoln Ave. ES K - 5 604 Dogwood ES K - 5 605 Forest Park ES K - 5 605 Sunquam ES K - 5 611 Smithtown ES K - 5 623 Sunrise Drive ES K - 5 629 Tremont ES K - 5 637 Vanderbilt ES K - 5 646 Canaan ES K - 5 654 Pines ES K - 5 664 Accompsett ES K - 5 706 William Rail School K - 5 715 S.E. Wiley School K - 5 730 Daniel St. School K - 5 730 Barton ES K - 5 730 St. James ES K - 5 735 Bretton Woods ES K - 5 748 Chestnut Hill ES K - 5 758 Eagle ES K - 5 852 Deauville Gardens ES K - 5 924 William Floyd ES K- 5 1,105 Southwest ES K - 5 1,t19 Tangier Smith ES K - 5 1,177 Moriches ES K - 5 1,204 John S. Hobart ES K - 5 '1,287 New Suffolk School K - 6 '11 Woodhull School K - 6 53 Quogue ES K - 6 99 Amagansett School K - 6 112 Oysterponds ES K - 6 1t6 Rmsnbrg-Speonk ES K - 6 169 Greenport ES K - 6 328 John Pearl ES K - 6 397 E. Quogue School K - 6 446 Idle Hour ES K - 6 456 Helen B. Duffield ES K - 6 484 Connetquot ES K - 6 493 Edith L. SIocum ES K - 6 517 Southold ES K - 6 528 SUFFOLK Connetquot Sycamore Ave. ES K - 6 533 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research I I I I I i 1 A-13 --- NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data ------=--==== ........ GRADES ENROLLMENT couNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL I';;;;;;; ;;;-- Lynwood Ave. School K-6 612 SUFFOLK Connetquot Edward J. Bosti ES K - 6 615 SUFFOLK Sachem Gatelot Ave. School K - 6 647 SUFFOLK East lelip J.F. Kennedy ES K - 6 657 SUFFOLK Sachem Wenonah School K - 6 659 SUFFOLK Sachem Grundy Ave. School K - 6 660 SUFFOLK Sachem Hiawatha School K - 6 677 SUFFOLK Sachem Merrimac School K - 6 684 SUFFOLK Sachem Tecumseh ES K - 6 684 SUFFOLK Sachem Chippewa ES K - 6 687 SUFFOLK Center Moriches Clayton Huey ES K - 6 702 SUFFOLK Sachem Cayuga School K - 6 722 SUFFOLK Sachem Nokomis School K - 6 750 SUFFOLK Sachem Waverly Ave. School K - 6 763 SUFFOLK Sachem Tamarac ES K - 6 787 SUFFOLK Three Village Arrowhead ES K - 6 835 SUFFOLK Three Village Wm. Sidney Mt. School K - 6 853 SUFFOLK Three Village Nassakeag ES K - 6 853 SUFFOLK Mattituck-Cutchogue Mattituck-Cutchogue ES K- 6 859 SUFFOLK Three Village Minnesauke ES K - 6 862 SUFFOLK Connatquot Cherokee St. ES K - 6 922 SUFFOLK Three Village Setauket ES K - 6 926 SUFFOLK Eastport Eastport School K - 6 944 SUFFOLK Hampton Bays Hampton Bays ES K - 6 955 SUFFOLK Tuckahoe Tuckahoe School K - 8 292 SUFFOLK Montauk Montauk School K - 8 425 SUFFOLK Springs Springs School K - 8 576 SUFFOLK East Moriches East Moriches School K - 8 700 SUFFOLK Fishers Island Fishers Island School K- 12 62 SUFFOLK Bridgehampton Bridgehampton School K- 12 148 SUFFOLK Shelter Island Shelter Island Schoot K - 12 285 SUFFOLK Amityville Northwest ES 1 - 2 519 SUFFOLK Wainscott Wainscott School 1 - 3 12 SUFFOLK Middle Country Hawkins Path School 1 - 5 393 SUFFOLK Middle Country E. Auer Mem. School 1 - 5 4t5 SUFFOLK Middle Country No. Coleman Rd. School 1 - 5 417 SUFFOLK Middle Country Holbrook Rd. School 1 - 5 435 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading Rvr Wading River School 1 - 5 439 SUFFOLK Middle Country Stagecoach School 1 - 5 479 SUFFOLK Middle Country Oxhead Rd. School 1 - 5 496 SUFFOLK Middle Country Jericho ES 1 - 5 506 SUFFOLK Brentwood Hemlock ES 1 - 5 615 SUFFOLK Brentwood Laurel Park ES 1 - 5 629 SUFFOLK Brentwood Southeast ES 1 - 5 642 SUFFOLK Brentwood Loretta Park ES 1 - 5 670 SUFFOLK Brentwood Oak Park ES 1 - 5 795 SUFFOLK Brentwood Twin Pines ES 1 - 5 853 SUFFOLK Brantwood North ES 1 - 5 853 SUFFOLK Brentwood Northeast ES 1 - 5 1,014 SUFFOLK Middle Country New Lane Mem. ES 1 - 5 1,093 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research A-14 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK .SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK South Country Central Islip Central Islip Central Islip East Islip Central Islip East lelip Central Islip Sagaponack Harborfields Brookhaven Annex Cordello Ave. ES M.L. Mulvey School Francis J. O'Neill Schl Ruth C. Kinney ES Andrew T. Morrow Schl Timber Point ES Charles A. Mulligan $chl Sagaponack School Thomas J. Lahey ES Shoreham-Wading Rvr Miller Ave. School Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor Babylon lelip Islip Elwood Bay Shore Bay Shore South Huntington South Huntington East Hampton Miller Place Commack Amityville Commack Deer Park Kings Park Riverhead South Country South Manor Huntington Huntington Rocky Point Longwood Southampton Wyandanch Mount Sinai Harborfields William Floyd Port Jefferson Westhampton Beach EIwood Bayport-Blue Point West Side School Lloyd Harbor School Babylon Mem. GS Maud S. Sherwood ES Commack Rd. ES James H. Boyd ES South Country School Gardiner Manor School Birchwood IS Maplewood IS East Hampton MS Sound Beach School Sawmill IS Park Ave. School Burr IS J.F. Kennedy IS R JO IS Pulaski St. ES Frank P. Long IS Dayton Ave. School Woodhull IS Huntington IS Joseph A. Edgar ES Longwood MS Southampton IS Milton L. Olive MS Mount Sinai MS OIdfield MS Nathaniel Woodhull Port Jefferson MS Westhampton Bch MS Elwood MS James W. Young MS Shoreham-Wading Rvr Shoreham-Wdg Rvr. MS West lelip Beach St. MS Northport-E. Northport E. Northport MS Smithtown Great Hollow MS Miller Place No. Country Rd. School 1- 6 22 1 6 473 1 6 562 1 6 575 1 6 652 1 6 733 1 6 734 1 6 807 2 4 15 2 4 835 2 5 493 2 6 297 2 6 545 2 6 786 3 5 376 3 5 495 3 5 599 3 5 622 3 5 681 3 5 718 3 5 741 5 8 501 3 5 699 3 5 766 3 5 811 3 5 962 3 5 1,017 4 5 628 4 5 757 4 5 761 4 6 418 4 6 472 4 6 505 4 - 6 911 5 - 6 1,611 5 - 8 506 5 - 8 707 5 - 8 801 5 - 8 1,112 6 861 6 - 8 267 6 - 8 413 6 - 8 570 6 - 8 581 6 - 8 604 6 - 8 618 6 - 8 670 6 - 8 718 6 - 8 737 Amityville E.W. Miles MS 6 - 8 777 prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning Research I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 _urce:New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data ====-~ ==r~= ====~= ========= = ~ '"~RADES ENROLLMENT COUNTY DISTRICT SCHOOL :==.'= West,s,,p Uda,,Rd. MS 763 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Northport MS 6 - 8 824 UFFOLK Comaewogue J.F. Kennedy MS 6 - 8 868 :FOLK Islip Islip MS 6 - 8 872 UFFOLK Sayville Sayville MS 6 - 8 900 UFFOLK Brentwood West MS 6 - 8 900 UFFOLK Brentwood South MS 6 - 8 906 UFFOLK Hauppauge Hauppauge MS 6 - 8 934 SUFFOLK Kings Park William T. Rogers MS 6 - 8 951 960 FFOLK Half Hollow Hills Candlewood MS 6 - 8 ~FFOLK Brentwood East MS 6 - 8 973 SUFFOLK Brentwood North MS 6 - 8 1,018 :FOLK Deer Park Robert Frost MS 6 - 8 1,065 UFFOLK Riverhead Riverhead MS 6 - 8 1,101 SUCFOLK South Country Bellport MS 6 - 8 1,108 UFFOLK Copiague Copiague MS 6 - 8 1,115 UFFOLK Half Hollow Hills West Hollow MS 6 - 8 1,158 UFFOLK West Babylon West Babylon J HS 6 - 8 1,211 ;UFFOLK North Babylon Robert Moses MS 6 - 8 1,268 ;UFFOLK Middle Country Selden MS 6 - 8 1,333 ;FFOLK Bay Shore Bay Shore MS 6 - 8 1,380 SUFFOLK Middle Country Dawnwood MS 6 - 8 1,380 ~UFFOLK South Huntington Henry L. Stimson MS 6 - 8 1,446 UFFOLK Smithtown Smithtown MS 6 - 8 1,553 SUFFOLK Commack Commack MS 6 - 8 t,628 IFFOLK Lindenhurst Lindenhurst MS 6 - 8 1,881 :FOLK Patchogue-Medford South Ocean MS 6 - 9 785 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford Oregon MS 6 - 9 968 Patchogue-Medford Saxton MS 5 - 9 t,138 ssUFFOLK 458 UFFOLK Sag Harbor Pierson HS 6 - 12 UFFOLK Huntington Finley JHS 7 - 8 649 UFFOLK East Islip Islip Terrace JHS 7 - 8 857 UFFOLK Central Islip Ralph Reed'School 7 - 8 1,005 UFFOLK Sachem Seneca JHS 7 - 8 1,t79 SL Sachem Sagamore JHS 7 - 8 1,325 ~UFFOLK Longwood Longwood JHS 7 - 8 1,576 IFFOLK William Floyd William Paca JHS 7 - 8 1,594 FFOLK Connetquot Oakdale-Bohemia JHS 7 - 9 778 Connetquot Ronkonkoma JHS 7 - 9 838 ;UFFOLK Three Village R.C. Murphy JHS 7 - 9 922 SUFFOLK Three Village Paul J. Gelinas JHS 7 - 9 926 FFOLK GreenPort Greenport HS 7 - 12 324 FFOLK Southold Southold JSHS 7 - 12 462 SUFFOLK Center Moriches Center Moriches HS 7 - 12 673 SUFFOLK Mattituck-Cutchogue Mattituck JSHS 7- 12 688 SUFFOLK Hampton Bays Hampton Bays JSHS 7 - 12 726 SUFFOLK Cold Spring Harbor Cold Spring Harbor HS 7 - 12 880 iSUFFOLK Babylon Babylon JSHS 7 - 12 914 SUFFOLK Eastport-South Manor Eastport-S. Manor CHS 7 - 12 1,081 SUFFOLK Rocky Point Rocky Point JSHS 7 - 12 1,48t =----=----:-- ====:: _.=_-=-.==--== SUFFOLK SUFFOLK Smithtown Freshman Campus 9 657 SUFFOLK Brentwood Freshman Center 9 1,157 SUFFOLK Port Jefferson Port Jefferson HS 9 - 12 338 SUFFOLK Wyandanch Wyandanch Mem. HS 9 - 12 540 SUFFOLK Elwood John Glen HS 9 - 12 608 SUFFOLK Southampton Southampton SHS 9 - 12 620 SUFFOLK Bayport-Blue Point Bayport-Blue Point HS 9 - 12 646 SUFFOLK Mount Sinai Mount Sinai HS 9 - 12 672 SUFFOLK Amityville Amityville Mem. HS 9 - 12 801 SUFFOLK Shoreham-Wading Rvr Shoreham-Wdg Rvr. HS 9- 12 805 SUFFOLK Harbo~elds Harborfields HS 9 - 12 838 SUFFOLK Miller Place Miller Place HS 9 - 12 884 SUFFOLK Westhampton Beach Westhampton Bch SHS 9- 12 932 SUFFOLK East Hampton East Hampton HS 9 - 12 940 SUFFOLK Islip Islip HS 9- 12 991 SUFFOLK Sayville Sayville HS 9 - 12 1,010 SUFFOLK Comsewogue Comsewogue SHS 9 - 12 1,016 SUFFOLK Kings Park Kings Park HS 9 - 12 . 1,041 SUFFOLK Deer Park Deer Park HS 9 - 12 1,084 SUFFOLK Huntington Huntington HS 9 - 12 1,097 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills HS W. 9 - 12 1,105 SUFFOLK Hauppauge Hauppauge HS 9 - 12 1,114 SUFFOLK Copiague Walter G. O'Connell HS 9 - 12 1,220 SUFFOLK Half Hollow Hills Half Hollow Hills HS E. 9 - 12 1,260 SUFFOLK South Country Bellport SHS 9 - 12 1,328 SUFFOLK West Babylon West Babylon SHS 9 - 12 1,367 SUFFOLK North Babylon North Babylon HS 9- 12 1,387 SUFFOLK Riverhead Riverhead SHS 9 - 12 1,445 SUFFOLK East Islip East Islip HS 9 - 12 1,454 SUFFOLK West Islip West Isiip SHS 9 - 12 1,549 SUFFOLK Bay Shore Bay Shore SHS 9 - 12 1,602 SUFFOLK Middle Country Newfield HS 9 - 12 1,603 SUFFOLK Northport-E. Northport Northport SHS 9 - 12 1,633 SUFFOLK Middle Country Centereach HS 9 - 12 1,704 SUFFOLK South Huntington Walt Whitman HS 9 - 12 1,712 SUFFOLK Central Islip Central Islip SHS 9 - 12 1,768 SUFFOLK Commack Commack HS 9 - 12 1,904 SUFFOLK Lindenhurst Lindenhurst SHS 9 - 12 2,110 SUFFOLK William Floyd Wiltiam Floyd HS 9 - 12 2,769 SUFFOLK Longwood Longwood HS 9- 12 3,002 SUFFOLK Sachem Sachem HS 9 - 12 4,301 SUFFOLK Connetquot Connetquot HS 10 - 12 1,473 SUFFOLK Three Village Ward Melville SHS 10 - 12 1,636 SUFFOLK Smithtown Smithtown HS 10 - 12 1,861 SUFFOLK Patchogue-Medford Patchogue-Medford HS 10 - 12 1,929 SUFFOLK Brentwood Brentwood HS 10- 12 2,896 A-16 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data COUNT~ DISTRICT SCHOOL GRADES ENROLLMENT Deer Park Lincoln School 8 - 12 13 ===~e~;~d=b=y--~V=e--s--t~u--~o~§~)~-~,,~e--~f~=~o~;n--n~e~;;~c~= ========= ===== ============ Elementary Grades tt of Schools Avg. Size School I Nassau 205 496 Suffolk 2t7 582 Long Island 422 539 I Middle Grades Nassau 48 839 Suffolk 55 982 tLong Island 103 911 Secondary Grades I Nassau 57 1,120 Suffolk 56 1,277 Long Island 113 1,198 I Other K-8 K-12 ungraded I TOTAL Smallest Largest 136 1,293 11 1,611 297 1,360 267 1,881 41 2,005 324 4,301 (not including alternative program at Lincoln School. Deer Park, but inc Levittown Memorial Special Educatic 647 I I I I I Nassau 311 Suffolk 336 Long Island 647 NASSAU-SUFFOLK DISTRICT ENROLLMENT DATA 2001 - 02 Source: New York State Education Department: Bureau of Educational Data DISTRICT CHANGES NASSAU SCHOOL 00101 01/02 North Bellmore Martin Avenue ES K - 5 * new Plainedge West School 1 - 5 K - 5 Eastplain School 1 - 5 K - 5 Schwarting School 1 - 5 K - 5 Northedge K Center K Plainview Pasadena ES 1 - 4 *closed *new I I I I I I I Roslyn East Hills School I - 5 2 - 5 Roslyn Heights ES K K - 1 West Hempstead Cornwell Avenue School K - 5 1 - 5 George Washington School K - 5 1 - 5 Chestnut Avenue Schoo~ K * new SUFFOLK SCHOOL 0gl01 0tl02 Longwood CE Walters K - 5 K - 4 Coram ES K - 5 K - 4 Ridge ES K - 5 K - 4 Longwood MS 6 - 7 5 - 6 Longwood JHS 8 - 9 7 ~ 8 New Suffolk New Suffolk School K - 5 K - 6 Sagaponack Sagaponack School 1 -4 2-4 Shoreham Wading River School K - 5 I - 5 South Country 8rookhaven Annex K-6 1 -6 Wyandanch Martin Luther King ES K - 5 K - 4 prepared by Wes~=~r~ S~=~k ~6CES Office of Sch~)~'~ Planni~t=~ Research = = ii APPENDIX B NASSAU COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT =~====== ======== ======== =====~== ======== ======== ======== ====~=~= =====~== ======~ ~=~===== ======== ======== GRADE Oc1-91 O~-92 O~-93 Od-94 Oct-95 O~-96 0ct-97 Oc~98 Oct-99 Oct~00 Oct-01 KINDERGARTEN 12.487 13.298 13,783 14,091 14,599 14,218 14.280 14,274 14,409 14,398 14,420 FIRST 13,252 13.434 14,173 14,844 15,044 15,910 15,383 15,720 15,493 15,798 15,700 SECOND 13,047 13,229 13,490 14,220 14,942 15.307 15,968 15,603 15,874 15,724 15,897 THIRD 12,812 13,097 13,297 13,604 14.403 15,102 15,427 16,234 15,764 16,129 15.957 FOURTH 12.718 12.978 13,144 13,388 13,788 14.415 15.192 15,612 16,488 15,876 16,232 FIFTH 12,736 12.888 13.024 13,249 13,556 13,880 14,627 15,479 15,729 16,736 16,130 SIXTH 12,798 13,017 13,157 13,448 13,537 13,723 13,988 14,946 15,779 16,107 17,037 SEVENTH 13,185 13,262 13,405 13,591 13.725 13,832 14.107 14,812 15,380 16,255 16,488 EIGHTH 12,743 13,122 13,073 13,580 13,547 13,583 13,846 14.258 14,689 15,386 16.179 NINTH 13.452 13,354 13,671 13,653 13,991 14,239 13,966 14,414 14,842 15~159 16,096 TENTH 13,344 13,324 13,277 13,410 13,197 13,710 14,043 14,034 14.173 14,687 14,853 ELEVENTH 12,622 12.837 13.092 12.927 13,241 13.081 13,287 13,668 13,405 13,847 14,292 TWELFTH 12,476 12,259 12,545 12,673 12.307 12,710 12,605 12,759 13,017 12,967 13.231 UNGRADED 4,332 4.483 4,361 4,149 4,433 4,503 4,578 4,149 4,351 4,174 3,407 TOTAL 172,004 174.582 177,492 180.827 164.310 188,213 191,297 195,962 199,393 203,213 205.919 % CHANGE 1.5% 1 7% 1.9% 19% 21% 1.6% 24% 1.8% 19% 1.3% % UNGRADED 2 6% 26% 2 5% 23% 2 5% 2.5% 25% 2 2% 22% 2 1% 1.7% NASSAU COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT ' GRADE Oct-91 Oc1-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct~)l K - 5 77.052 78,924 80,911 83,396 86,332 88,832 90,877 92.922 93,757 94,661 94,336 % CHANGE 24% 2 5% 31% 3 5% 2 9% 2.3% 2 3% 0.9% 1 0% ~.3% 6 - 8 38,726 39,401 39,635 40,619 40,809 41.138 41,941 44.016 45,848 47,748 49,704 % CHANGE 1 7% 06% 2.5% 0 5% 0.8% 20% 49% 4.2% 4 1% 4.1% 9 - 12 51,894 51.774 52,585 52,663 52,736 53,740 53,901 54,875 55,437 56,630 58,472 % CHANGE ~3 2% 16% 01% 01% 19% 03% 18% 1 0% 2.2% 33% NASSAU COUNTY MIGRATION 91 - 92 92 - 93 93 - 94 94 - 95 95 - 96 96 - 97 97 - 98 98 - 99 99 - 00 00 - 01 A ,/ERAGE K - 1 107.6% 1066% 107.7% 106.8% 109.0% 1082% 110 1% 108.5% 109 6% 1090% t08.7% 1 - 2 99.8% 1004% 100 3% 1007% 101.7% 1004% 101 4% 101.0% 101 5% 1006% t01.1% 2-3 1004% 1005% 1008% 1013% 101.1% 1008% 1017% 1010% 101~6% 1015% 101.4% 3 - 4 101 3% 100.4% 100 7% 1014% 100 1% 100 6% 1012% 101.6% 100.7% 1006% 100.9% 4 - 5 1013% 100.4% 100 8% 1013% 1007% 101 5% 101.9% 100.7% 101.5% 1016% 101.6% 5-6 1022% 1021% 1033% 1022% 1012% 1008% 1022% 101.9% 1024% 1018% 102. t% 6~7 1036% 1030% 1033% 1021% 1022% 1028% 1059% 1029% 103.0% 1024% 103.2% 7-8 99.5% 986% 1013% 99.7% 990% 100.1% 1011% 99.2% 1000% 995% t00.0% 8-9 104.8% 1042% 1044% 1030% 105.1% 1028% 104.1% 1041% 1032% 104.6% 104,2% 9 * 10 99.0% 994% 98 1% 96.7% 98.0% 986% 100.5% 98.3% 98 8% 98.0% 96.8% 10-11 962% 983% 97.4% 98.7% 991% 969% 973% 955% 97.7% 975% 97.6% 11 -12 97.1% 977% 968% 952% 960% 96.4% 960% 95.2% 967% 956% 96.0% NASSAU COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN 14,420 14,066 14,137 13,931 13,893 13,925 FIRST 15,700 15,682 15,297 15,374 15,149 15,108 SECOND 15,897 15,874 15,855 15,466 15,544 15,317 THIRD 15,957 16,127 16,103 16,085 15,690 15,769 FOURTH 16,232 16,107 16,279 16,255 16,236 15,838 FIFTH 16,130 16,494 16,368 16,542 16,518 16,498 SIXTH 17,037 16,466 16,837 16,708 16,886 16,861 SEVENTH 16,488 17,581 16,991 17,375 17,241 17,425 EIGHTH 16,179 16,485 17,578 16,988 17,372 17,238 NINTH 16,096 16,862 17,181 18,320 17,706 18,106 TENTH 14,853 15,908 16,666 16,981 18,107 17,499 ELEVENTH 14,292 14,495 15,525 16,265 16,572 17,671 TWELFTH 13,231 13,718 13;913 14,902 15,611 15,907 UNGRADED 3,407 3,202 3,002 2,808 2,612 2,423 TOTAL 205,919 209,068 211,733 213,999 215,138 215,585 % CHANGE 1.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% NASSAU COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 K - 5 94,336 94,350 94,039 93,652 93,030 92,455 % CHANGE 0.0% -0.3% -0.4% -0.7% -0.6% 6 ~ 8 49,704 50,532 51,406 51,071 51,499 51,525 % CHANGE 1.7% 1.7% -0.7% 0.8% 0.0% 9 - 12 58,472 60,984 63,286 66,468 67,997 69,183 % CHANGE 4.3% 3.8% 5.0% 2.3% 1.7% SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT ======== ======== =====~== ======== ====~==~ ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== GRADE O~-91 O~-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-99 Oct-99 Oct-00 O~4)1 ===~==== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== =~====== ==~===== KINDERGARTEN 16.427 16,851 17,549 18,256 18,715 18,429 18,162 18,210 18,494 18,569 18.650 FIRST 17,139 17,114 17,690 18,483 19,343 20,000 19,592 19,621 19,692 20,098 19,958 SECOND 15,886 16,488 16,459 16.~4 17,958 18,630 19,449 19,385 19,496 19,523 19,846 THIRD 15,395 15,629 16,289 16,265 16,890 17,814 18,626 19.555 19,454 19,799 19,771 FOURTH 15,509 15,284 15,531 16,225 16,237 16,893 17,855 16,857 19,778 19.833 19,937 FIFTH 15,284 15,493 15,329 15,574 16,168 16,281 16,938 18,023 19,096 20.175 20,151 SIXTH 15,544 15,360 15,763 15,519 15,781 16,406 16,525 17,370 18,547 19,631 20,443 SEVENTH 15,945 15,837 15,712 15,867 15,732 15,981 16,534 16,843 17,841 19,211 19.968 EIGHTH 15,985 15,711 15,709 15,618 15,746 15,760 16,029 16,647 17,013 18,007 18,968 NINTH 16.526 16.574 16.138 16.295 16,275 16.588 16,438 17,009 17,431 17,821 18,699 TENTH 16,384 16.225 16,034 15,680 15,749 15,781 16,130 15.839 16,461 17,078 17,535 ELEVENTH 15,605 15,630 15,418 15,339 15.140 14.971 14.891 15.308 15.290 15,959 15,662 TWELFTH 15,978 15,501 15,232 14,891 14,777 14,507 14.327 14,193 14,487 14,397 15,183 UNGRADED 8,121 9,128 9,338 9,429 9,394 9,716 9.932 9.900 9,872 8,755 8,428 TOTAL 215,728 216,825 218.191 220,435 223.905 227,757 231,428 236.760 242,952 248.856 254,199 % CHANGE 0 5% 06% 1.0% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 2 3% 26% 24% 2.1% % UNGRADED 3 9% 4 4% 4.5% 45% 44% 4 5% 45% 44% 42% 3.6% 34% SUFFOLK COUNTY H~STORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Octo97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct,)0 Oct-01 K-5 95.640 98,859 98,847 101,797 105,311 108,047 110,62;~ 113,651 116,010 117.997 118,313 % CHANGE 13% 21% 30% 3.5% 2.6% 2 4% 2.7% 2 1% 1.7% 0.3% 6-8 47.474 46,908 47.184 47,004 47.259 48.147 49,088 50.860 53,401 56.849 59,379 % CHANGE -1 2% 0.6% 4) 4% 05% 1.9% 20% 36% 50% 6.5% 4.5% 9 - 12 64.493 63,930 62,822 62.205 61,941 61,847 61.786 62,349 63.669 65,255 68,079 % CHANGE -09% -17% -10% -0.4% -02% -01% 0.9% 2.1% 2.5% 4.3% SUFFOLK COUNTY MIGRATION 91 - 92 92 - 93 03 - 94 94 - 95 95 - 95 96 - 97 97 - 98 98 - 99 99 - 00 00 - 01 AVERAGE K - 1 1042% 1050% 1053% 1060% 106.9% 106.3% 1080% 1081% 108,7% 1075% 107.t% I -2 96.2% 962% 961% 972% 96.3% 972% 989% 99.4% 99.1% 98.7% 98.t% 2-3 98.4% 988% 988% 994% 992% 100.0% 1005% 100.4% 101.6% 101.3% 100.3% 3-4 993% 99.4% 996% 99.8% 100.0% 100.2% 1012% 101 1% 101.9% 100.7% 100.9% 4-5 999% 100.3% 1003% 996% 100.3% 1003% 100.9% 101 3% 102.0% 1016% t01.1% 5- 6 1005% 1017% 1012% 1013% 1015% 101.5% 1026% 1029% 1028% 101.3% 102.2% 6-7 101,9% 1023% 100~7% 1014% 101.3% 1008% 101.9% 102.7% 103.6% 101.7% t02.1% 7-8 985% 99.2% 994% 99.2% 1002% 1003% 1007% 1010% 100.9% 98.7% t00.3% 8-9 1037% 102.7% 1037% 1042% 105.3% 1043% 1061% 1047% 104.7% 1038% 104.8% 9 - 10 98.2% 967% 972% 966% 970% 97.2% 964% 96.8% 980% 98.4% 97.7% 10-11 954% 950% 957% 96.6% 95.1% 944% 949% 96.5% 970% 97.6% 97.0% 11-12 99.3% 975% 966% 96.3% 95.8% 957% 953% 946% 942% 95.1% 95.7% SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 ======== ======== actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN 18,650 18,455 18,510 18,535 18,755 18,579 FIRST 19,958 19,974 19,765 19,824 19,851 20,086 SECOND 19,846 19,585 19,600 19,396 19,453 19,480 THIRD 19,771 19,911 19,649 19,664 19,459 19,517 FOURTH 19,937 19,945 20,086 19,822 19,837 19,630 FIFTH 20,151 20,148 20,156 20,299 20,032 20,047 SIXTH 20,443 20,598 20,595 20,603 20,749 20,476 SEVENTH 19,968 20,881 21,039 21,036 21,044 21,193 EIGHTH 18,968 20,036 20,952 21,111 21,108 21,116 NINTH 18,699 19,887 21,006 21,967 22,133 22,130 TENTH 17,535 18,272 19,433 20,527 21,465 21,628 ELEVENTH 16,662 17,012 17,727 18,853 19,914 20,825 TWELFTH 15,183 15,942 16,277 16,961 18,039 19,054 UNGRADED 8,428 7,942 7,459 6,995 6,544 6,091 TOTAL 254,199 258,587 262,255 265,592 268,383 269,852 % CHANGE 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 ======== ======== actual ======== =====--== ======== ======== ======== K-5 118,313 118,018 117,767 117,540 117,387 117,339 % CHANGE -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% 0.0% 6 - 8 59,379 61,515 62,586 62,750 62,901 62,785 % CHANGE 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% -0.2% 9 - 12 68,079 71,113 74,443 78,307 81,551 83,637 % CHANGE 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 4.1% 2.6% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct-01 KINDERGARTEN 28,914 30,149 31,332 32,347 33,314 32,647 32,442 32,484 32,903 32,967 33,070 FIRST 30,391 30,548 31,863 33,327 34,387 35,910 34,975 35,341 35,185 35,896 35,658 SECOND 28,933 29,717 29,949 31,214 32,900 33,937 35,417 34,988 35,370 35,247 35,743 THIRD 28,207 28,726 29,586 29,869 31,293 32,916 34,053 35,789 35,218 35,928 35,728 FOURTH 28,227 28,262 28,675 29,613 30,025 31,308 33,047 34,469 36,266 35,709 36,169 FIFTH 28,020 28,381 28,353 28,823 29,724 30,161 31,565 33,502 34,825 36,911 36,281 SIXTH 28,342 28,377 28,920 28,967 29,318 30,129 30,513 32,316 34,326 35,738 37,480 SEVENTH 29,130 29,099 29,117 29,458 29,457 29,813 30,641 31,655 33,221 35,466 36,456 EIGHTH 28,728 28,833 28,782 29,198 29,293 29,343 29,875 30,905 31,702 33,393 35,147 NINTH 29,978 29,928 29,809 29,948 30,266 30,827 30,404 31,423 32,273 32,980 34,795 TENTH 29,728 29,549 29,311 29,090 28,946 29,491 30,173 29,873 30,634 31,735 32,388 ELEVENTH 28,227 28,467 28,510 28,266 28,381 28,052 28,178 28,976 28,695 29,806 30,954 TWELFTH 28,454 27,760 27,777 27,564 27,084 27,217 26,932 26,952 27,504 27,364 28,414 UNGRADED 12,453 13,611 13,699 13,578 13,827 14,219 14,510 14,049 14,223 12,929 11,835 TOTAL 387,732 391,407 395,683 401,262 408,215 415,970 422,725 432,722 442,345 452,069 460,118 % CHANGE 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1,9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% % UNGRADED 3.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY HISTORICAL PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-91 Oct-92 Oct-93 Oct-94 Oct-95 Oct-96 Oct-97 Oct-98 Oct-99 Oct-00 Oct-01 K - 5 172,692 175,783 179,758 185,193 191,643 196,879 201,499 206,573 209,767 212,658 212,649 % CHANGE 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 3.5% 2.7% 2.3% 2.5% 1.5% 1.4% 0.0% 6 ~ 8 86,200 86,309 86,819 87,623 88,068 89,285 91,029 94,876 99,249 104,597 109,083 % CHANGE 0.1% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.4% 4.3% 9- 12 116,387 115,704 115,407 114,868 114,677 115,587 115,687 117,224 119,106 121,885 126,551 % CHANGE -0.6% -0.3% -0.5% -0.2% 0.8% 0.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.8% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 ======== ======== actual ======== ======== ======== ====5=== ======== KINDERGARTEN 33,070 32,522 32,647 32,466 32,647 32,504 FIRST 35,658 35,655 35,062 35,198 35,000 35,194 SECOND 35,743 35,459 35,455 34,862 34,997 34,797 THIRD 35,728 36,038 35,752 35,749 35,149 35,286 FOURTH 36,169 36,052 36,365 36,077 36,073 35,468 FIFTH 36,281 36,643 36,524 36,841 36,549 36,546 SIXTH 37,480 37,063 37,432 37,311 37,635 37,337 SEVENTH 36,456 38,462 38,030 38,411 38,286 38,618 EIGHTH 35,147 36,521 38,530 38,099 38,480 38,354 NINTH 34,795 36,749 38,188 40,287 39,839 40,236 TENTH 32,388 34,180 36,099 37,508 39,572 39,127 ELEVENTH 30,954 31,507 33,252 35,118 36,487 38,496 TWELFTH 28,414 29,660 30,190 31,863 33,650 34,961 UNGRADED 11,835 11,144 1.0,461 9,803 9,157 8,514 TOTAL 460,118 467,655 % CHANGE 1.6% 473,988 479,592 483,521 485,437 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% NASSAU/SUFFOLK COUNTY PROJECTED PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT GRADE Oct-01 Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 K -5 212,649 212,368 211,806 211,192 210,417 209,794 % CHANGE -0.4% -0.3% -0.3% -0.4% -0.3% 6 - 8 109,083 112,046 113,992 113,821 114,400 114,310 % CHANGE 2.7% 1.7% -0.2% 0.5% -0.1% 9 - 12 126,551 132,097 137,729 144,776 149,548 152,820 %'CHANGE 4.4% 4.3% 5.1% 3.3% 2.2% NASSAU/SUFFOLK KINDERGARTEN PROJECTIONS ............................. === == ...... = .... = ..... = .... Nassau Suffolk Year Nassau Suffolk Year K ................................ ratios K ratios 1986 15,567 17,881 1991 12,487 0.8021 16,427 0.9187 1987 16,504 18,735 1992 13,298 0.8057 16,851 0.8994 1988 17,072 19,904 1993 13,783 1989 17,700 20,993 1994 14,091 1990 18,180 21,252 1995 14,599 1991 17,864 21.201 1996 14,218 1992 18,065 20,622 1997 14,280 1993 17,931 20,563 1998 14,274 1994 17,903 20,502 1999 14,409 1995 18,084 101.0% 20,302 99.0% 2000 14,398 1996 17,722 98.0% 19,953 98.3% 2001 14,420 1997 17,100 96.5% 19,862 99.5% 2002 14,066 1998 17,186 100.5% 19,921 100.3% 2003 14,137 1999 16,935 98.5% 19,948 100.1% 2004 13,931 2000 16,889 99.7% 20,184 101.2% 2005 13,893 est. 2001 16,928 19,995 2006 13,925 99.6% 99.9% 0.8073 17,549 0.8817 0.7961 18,256 0.8696 0.8030 18,715 0.8806 0.7959 18,429 0.8693 0.7905 18,162 0.8807 Gmwth 0.7961 18,210 Gmwth 0.8856 2000-01 0.8048 18,494 2000-01 0.9021 1.021986 0.7962 18,569 1.02193 0.9146 0.8137 18,650 0.9347 Wtd Avg 0.8226 16455 Wtd Avg ~9292 16510 16535 16755 16579 i ! I l II Westem Suffolk Division of Instructional Support Services Office of School Planning & Research 220 Washington Avenue Deer Park, NY 11729 631/242-~ '128